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CA VA <br />Section II <br />school year. Growth rates during this period have ranged from -5.07% to +2.80 %. In the <br />Orange County school system, historic growth is more closely related to new residential <br />development than in the Chapel Hill /Carrboro School District, which has a sizeable number of <br />new families in older, existing housing stock. The need for an additional Elementary School is <br />not anticipated in the 10 year projection period. Staff continues to closely monitor new sizeable <br />residential projects in the Orange County portion of Mebane and Hillsborough. <br />Although not included in SAPFO school capacity or membership numbers, Pre -K programs <br />continue to impact operations at District elementary schools where Pre -K programs exist. <br />Specific impacts of Pre -K programs at the elementary school level will continue to be reviewed <br />and discussed in the coming year. <br />Middle <br />The previous year (2013 -14) projections for November 2014 for this level were overestimated by <br />27 students. The actual membership increased by 15. Over the previous ten years, growth has <br />varied widely and includes decreases in student membership in five of the ten years. Growth <br />rates during this period have ranged from -4.67% to +4.00 %. The district's third Middle School, <br />Gravelly Hill Middle School, opened in October 2006. The need for an additional Middle <br />School is not anticipated in the 10 -year projection period. Staff continues to closely monitor new <br />sizeable residential projects in the Orange County portion of Mebane and Hillsborough. <br />High School <br />The previous year (2013 -14) projections for November 2014 for this level were underestimated <br />by 96 students. The actual membership increased by 81. Over the previous ten years, growth <br />varied considerably and included a decrease in membership in 2009 -10. Following this decrease, <br />membership and growth rates have experienced increases every school year since. Growth rates <br />during this period ranged from -1.12% to 9.01 %. In 2011 -12 student membership increased by <br />32 while capacity decreased by 199 at Orange County High School as a result of a N.C. <br />Department of Public Instruction (DPI) study. This year's projections show that additional <br />capacity is needed in 2022 -23 by expanding Cedar Ridge High School from 1,000 to 1,500 <br />students. This is similar to last year's projections. <br />33 <br />