Orange County NC Website
The Fiscal Impact of <br /> Commercial Development <br /> IBy Kim Newel <br /> i <br /> I <br /> Assessi7io t17c public ne consequence of the last few I volves several problems about what <br /> years'economic slowdown and cost and revenue items should be in- i <br /> costs a7zd beuc,fits of recession is that fiscal impact is- eluded,how they should be measured, <br /> sues have lost much of their and what time frame should be adopt- j <br /> dcvelopiuvit is a I 0 contentiousness. It is probably ( ed.Even though the states and munic- <br /> safe to assume, however, that both I tpalttses empowered to impose impact <br /> c0771plex but municipal officials and builders would fees have settled these matters legisla- !t <br /> prefer to see the economy and local fis- tively, the issues nevertheless continue <br /> 17ZC1`east776V cal impact battles heat up again. In to crop up, especially when builders <br /> preparation for that day,this article re- feel squeezed or development is <br /> i777ponxlt process visits a widely publicized conflict over booming. <br /> the costs of development in one of the A second set of issues goes deeper. j <br /> f07- both developen country's fastest-growing counties— These issues focus on the basic as- <br /> DuPage County,Illinois.The discus- sumption that underpins fiscal impact <br /> a7zd co77i77iu7zities. sion lays out some of the likely direc- analysis and ask if it is reasonable to } <br /> tions the overall fiscal impact debate expect a close connection between de- <br /> will take during this decade. velopment and specific attendant costs 1 <br /> Traditional fiscal impact analysis, and benefits. Critics argue that each i <br /> developed primarily by Robert$urchell new development must be considered <br /> and David Listokin of Rutgers Univer- as part of a region's overall growth. <br /> sits and practiced by many others,has Thus, as a region changes in nature III <br /> come to some fairly well-established due to ongoing development,a multi- <br /> conclusions. M'hile the exact magni- tude of factors is likely to change,each <br /> tudes of fiscal impact vary from case to affecting the costs and revenues of <br /> case,certain types of development con- subsequent development. It is impos- <br /> sistently generate more revenues than sible to link these changes to a specific <br /> costs. In rough sequence, office build- development on a clear-cut, one-to- <br /> ings, industrial uses,warehouses,retail one basis. Only a comprehensive, <br /> operations,and high-density apart- macro-level analysis can shed light on <br /> ment buildings with small units gener- the exact relationship. <br /> ate net revenues, while lower-density One example of such a comprehen- <br /> apartments,townhouses, and single- sive study is the 1990 analysis of the <br /> family homes impose net costs. Obvi- Elkwood Downs commercial and in- <br /> ousiy,the demand for schools and oth- dustrial development in Culpeper <br /> er residential services is relatively more County,Virginia. Carried out by the <br /> expensive than the traffic and protec- Government Finance Research Center <br /> tive services required for nonresidential {GFRC), the study is a response to a <br /> development. traditional fiscal impact analysis that <br /> proiected a large positive cash flog+ in <br /> Fiscal impact Analysis Critiqued count}' revenues. By constructing an <br /> _ ! Critics of fiscal impact analysis have alternative model that takes into ac. <br /> raised two sets of issues. The first in- count the induced service employ- I <br /> 10 Land Development/Spring-Summer 1993 <br />