Agenda - 10-11-1995 - Items 1 and 2 - Appendix 1

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Transportation Modeling Assumptions Modeling future transportation scenarios in the ► The intersection of Eubanks/NC86 will be Northwest Area required analysis and assumptions signalized in its current alignment. for the study area as well as all surrounding areas that interact or will interact with this area in the The figures supplied by the UNC Department of future. In particular, future growth in Carrboro's City and Regional Planning's Northwest Small northern planning jurisdiction and on the Area Workshop Class were used for future University's Horace Williams Tract were issues employment projections for the Horace Williams that were incorporated into the modeling tract. The tract was divided into two zones, with scenarios. a majority of the residential uses in the western zone and the majority of the non-residential uses In general, for purposes of the transportation in the eastern zone. Generally, the western zone analysis, all modeling for the Northwest Area was corresponds to the portion of the property that is based on the following systemwide assumptions: in Carrboro's planning jurisdiction, and the eastern zone corresponds to the portion of the ► The design year is 2010. property that is in Chapel Hill's jurisdiction. The figures are as follows: ► Growth of the Chapel Hill-Carrboro area will be consistent with projections Employment Projections in 2010 prepared for the 1985 Urban Area for the University's Horace Williams Tract Thoroughfare Plan, updated where necessary nb Y th e Triangle T rans i t Authority h 501 Fixed Guideway Study, the U.S. 15 Corridor S t ud Y, a nd th e Southern Small <:: Area Plan. Eastern Zone ;: 1012•:<:>:::: az303 :7:.;;:;:.; .;:;•;';:.;51i:1�:;•:>:•>: < Westem Zone 113 338 1119 ► All scenarios assume the same level of growth in the areas outside of the N TOTAL: 1125 3375 1630 Northwest Study Area. P. The same level of growth will be assumed for the Horace Williams property under The following future employment projections for each scenario. the year 2010 will be used in the model: ► Horace Williams development will be Projected Growth in 2010 assumed to be designed to encourage by Plan Alternatives alternative modes of transportation. This as sumes that the overall development P ment P atte r ns will be sim i lar development t on ;.;..:.:..:.;..:.:.<..;.;.:..;.,..:.;.:..;.:<..;.:..;.:.: the main campus. Base Year 0 395 ► Chapel Hill Transit service levels and Alternative 1 506 1774 routing will remain at 1994-95 levels, including additional service to the U.S. Alternative 2 813 3517 15-501 South Park and Ride Lot and the Alternative 2A 813 3517 Eubanks Road Park and Ride Lot. Recommended ► NC 86 will be widened consistent with Plan 1111 3818 current plans. Page A-14 Northwest Small Area Plan