Orange County NC Website
• TM1: Comparison of Flow Estimation Methods <br /> • TM2: Evaluation of the Sensitivity of the Falls Lake Nutrient Response Model <br /> Water Quality Sampling <br /> During July 2014, CardnoEntrix received approval from DWR for three required technical <br /> memoranda that had been prepared and submitted for DWR review that describe in detail the <br /> watershed sampling project that will form the foundation of the re-examination process: <br /> • Quality Assurance Project Plan (QAPP) <br /> • Falls Lake Watershed Monitoring Plan <br /> • Modeling Framework <br /> The QAPP and the Monitoring Plan describe the three-to five-year watershed sampling effort <br /> that was initiated in August 2014. The water quality sampling program will provide information <br /> for the following purposes: <br /> • Determination of nutrient source allocation and jurisdictional nutrient loading to Falls <br /> Lake; <br /> • Falls Lake response modeling; <br /> • Development of data for consideration of additional regulatory options; and <br /> • Linkage of water quality conditions in Falls Lake to the designated <br /> Attachment C illustrates the locations that will be sampled in the Falls Lake watershed for the <br /> determination of jurisdictional loading, as well as the stations that are designed to provide <br /> information about nutrient loading to the lake. Attachment D illustrates additional water quality <br /> sampling locations that other organizations are monitoring within Falls Lake. Modeling Data <br /> Gaps UNRBA re-modeling of Falls Lake is expected to start in approximately two years, and is <br /> intended to update the lake response model that DWQ utilized in the development of the Falls <br /> Lake Rules. The UNRBA contractor identified several gaps in the data used by DWQ in the <br /> modeling completed during the development of the Falls Lake Rules, including: <br /> • DWQ held constant the total organic carbon and chlorophyll-a input values assumed for <br /> the tributaries feeding into Falls Lake. These concentrations were based on levels <br /> measured within the lake, not in the tributaries. It is probable that these concentrations <br /> were artificially high to begin with and were unable to decrease at all over the course of <br /> the modeling study. <br /> • There are no stream gages on any of the streams that flow into Falls Lake east of I-85, <br /> thus no flow information was incorporated for any of these 12 streams. <br /> • Atmospheric deposition of nitrogen in the lake or watershed was not accounted for by <br /> DWQ. <br /> • Streambank erosion, possibly a significant source of phosphorus in the watershed, was <br /> not considered as a possible source by DWQ. <br /> • Internal lake processes, such as sediment re-suspension, were also not accounted for by <br /> DWQ. <br /> BMP Credit Review and Nutrient Trappinq Analysis <br /> CardnoEntrix is also currently working on a nutrient reduction BMP credit literature review and <br /> the analysis of nutrient trapping that occurs within the larger impoundments in the watershed. <br /> While the nutrient trapping analysis will be important for the remodeling of the watershed, the <br /> BMP credit determination project will be beneficial to entities, including UNRBA member <br /> governments, which must use BMPs to meet required nutrient reduction goals. DWR approval <br /> of additional BMP credits is expected to take nearly a year per each additional BMP as a result <br /> of the stringent credit determination process currently proposed by DWR. With several <br /> measures in need of credit determination, the process of developing a thorough BMP "tool kit" <br /> for regulated entities to employ may take a decade or more. <br />