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1 66
<br /> 115,82022m84 OCS Student Projections 115,82022m84
<br /> Elementary
<br /> ,.drool Year 2 2001.02 2 2 2004-05 2005-00 2 2 2009.10 2010.11 2011-12 201243 2 261445 2015-16 2016-17 201]-18 201049 2019-20 2020-21 2021-12 202323 2023-24
<br /> Actual 00030]8 2,893 ,41372°901 0038945 3,018 3006 2003072 }3,158 0083,165 093,211 3285 8349 3,403 133,433
<br /> Titter. 3193 3,553 3,814 3,674 3,724 3,794 3;854 3,914 3975 4,035
<br /> OCPlenninq 3.492 3,559 3,26 806 3766 3,835 3.30E 3,975 4,040 4,085
<br /> 10 Year th 3,45] 3550 3515 601 3,637 3 67 3,]10 3,748 8]86
<br /> s Year OroormvlM1 3,411 3,580 3619 3834 3,663 3,700 3737 3.774 3,812 8650
<br /> 3 Year Growth 3.948 3.535 - 8556 3.579 3.615 3,651 3.725 3.762
<br /> Average
<br /> 55 a0 722 3'559 353,597 1,620 8668 331166 3,]660 363312 3,61 390S
<br /> ;4
<br /> Annual 40 1 .3 el In ACloalB Pro7ce dMCmbarryip) � ��r 66 0s 1 96 T4 63 _ _ 83_ 92 4 _ 98 9
<br /> C acil 100,.Level of Service ,820 3922 __3,912 __ 3,694 3,694 3,694 694 6 4 3.694 3,699 3,694 3,694 3,694 3,694 3,694 3694 3694 3.694 3.094
<br /> Number or sluaents,Actual and Relented,Over(Under)106%LOS (742) 1927 (919) 17751 (804) (914) (B90 17691 I29 (98 3) 1409 (306) 1291 (2611 1222) 11361 1971 (61) 126) 22 70 11B 163 212
<br /> 6%Lavoie/Service 4,011 4,011 9,011 4,011 4,011 4,116 4. 8 4,t le 019 3,1179 3,8}9 3,73 3 3,015 3,879 3,079 3,8]9 3,879
<br /> Number of Students,Actual and Proecled,Over Under 105%LOS 933 11,1101 1.110 1066 995 1110 10461, 960 3}10 684 631 31]6 446 406 327 Tel 251 210 163 114 61: le 20
<br /> Achal-%Level of Service 805% 75.7% 35.9% ]],15 79.07, 76,7% 78,3% 00.5% 85,7% 6669% 889% 904% 92.1% 939%
<br /> 0.20 95?% 104896
<br /> Annual 91u1ent Growth Sale(3) 3.01% 828% 1.52% 2.41% -0.33% 2.20%. 240%, 912% 145% \\30% 1.02% - 0.90% 1.14% 2.39% 1.18% 0,80% 113% 1.30% 1129% 1.28, 1,2B% 1117%
<br /> m6ten4lwnen eels Isxrwgicru,,,,,,\1
<br /> irdicales when dlsiricl surpasses Schools APFO recommended Level of Service oAGmOapappwvm by Bac
<br /> �agry numbers
<br /> 8:08 rah u0120%n of 10 Ills lmpadanl 1000(¢that this re1ecls the November 15.2013.1e Of menbershIpas outlined is byte Schools Adequate Public Facnie4 Ordinance,
<br /> .465 4000.c siera,, 02enbg MClrccs llenvwry es oMSlGove
<br /> .The Otter Model provides for 0e"Linear Met..of projections for both SHOOS and OCS.Orginalpmjectlons used In prior years 014545 on models Included the 1.12.46lrapolalion Method"for CHCCS. tlo Mmv mrmwl 4w,zadan re:reMMtlass sire)
<br /> IS Annual growth tale calwla1.using actual membership for years 200801 through 2013-14 and average membership for years 2014-15 trough 1023-24
<br /> Cass sizes for grades I(-3=1:23tor subeol years 2000 through 206008.I78[50rd¢.wit 2306 school GMlalwrarnn Work Group direction,effeclivethe 2008.2009s..ye zr with the opening or CHGCS Elern0,4 010,K-3 class sizes.01:21 ae directed by past Slate legislative ac'.ion,
<br /> OCS Student Projectionsll)
<br /> Middle
<br /> School Year 2000-01 2001-02 200243 2003 04 200405 2005.08 2006-07 2007-08 2008.09 2009-10 2010.11 2011-12 2912-13 2013-19 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018 419 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022 423 2023-24
<br /> 1184 1,527 0021,831 1671 1593 1,590 1,580 1637 1,601 1.665 1,698 1.]04 1.684 1747
<br /> Tischer. 1.778 1,898 1.839 1.869 1.900 1 931 1.001 1932 2.723 2 053
<br /> OC P 1,711 1.823 1860 1917 1,957 1.980 1,995 2,939 2.023 2.045
<br /> 108ear Growth 1,795 1.804 1 513 1.853 1,847 1,955 1.940 1,996 1,956 1.956
<br /> 5 Year Growth 1,799 1,803 1.507 1,848 1.954 1.978 1,975 1.987 2007 2,027
<br /> Year GrCvilh _ 1,793 1,789 1,792 1,821 1,909 1,910 1 894 1,900 1919 1,938
<br /> Average - _ _ _ _ 1.790 1,805 1.924 1,462 1,051 1, 1,007 3,010
<br /> 1,633 063 496}
<br /> Annual Mange-Inuease(0ecreas01 in Mtn,0 Projecled Membership) - 28 _ .104_ 44 (70 _ n 09 67 136 64 33 6 (20 63 40 17, 19 38 72 17 2 14, 22
<br /> Capacity-100%Level of service 1,466 1.469 1.460 1,466 1,960 1,966 2,166 2166 2166 2,166 3,196 2,166 2165 2,166 2,166 2,166 2.166 2166 2166 2,166 5106 166 2,166 2,166
<br /> umber of Students.AClual and Projected,Over(Unelerl 5130%LOS 38 e1 195 205 127 124 10961 (529 (665 1531) (280) (462, (4139) 1419, 13771 (3611 (3421 (304) 033) (211 (213) 2(199) (170( 11501
<br /> 107%Level of Service 1.569 1,569 1,569 1,569 1,569 1,569 2.318 2,495 2,318 2,318 2,319 2,318 2,310 2,315 2,310 2318 2318 2008 2,318 2318 2,319 2,318 2.110 2,318
<br /> Number of Students,Actual and Pr01ecIed,Over(Under)10]%LOS 1651 (42) 102 24 21 17310 1601 1717 1653 (690 (614) 1614 (s}1 (529) 15121 1494) 1456) 1104) (360 (355) 1351) 1330, (306
<br /> Actual-56 Level.Service 102.6. 104.2% 111.3, 114,0,. 108.7„ 109.5,. 720% 73,6% 730% 700% 78.4% 79.7. 77.7. 50.}%
<br /> 82.69, .63.4% 89.2% 85,9% 89.3% 90.1% 90.2% 90,8% 91.8, 92.6%
<br /> Annual Student 0805811P.131 1.50% 6,81, 246% 463% -816% -063%. 3144. -2.20% 4.00% 1.90% 0.3614 -1,11% 3.74% 538% 0.9454 143% 247% 3,65% 0,90% 0.12% 0,31, 104, 1.1200
<br /> indwtes renal dlsllicl surpasses Schools APFO recommended Level of Service
<br /> m Ills iMpodant to mole to,Its reflects the November 15,2013 dale of membership as oullinetl in by IM1e Scito/s Ado..Public Sac..Ordinance,
<br /> w the Itchier Modelprovides for the"Linear Method"of pryeo,02ns for both CHCCS antl OCS.Original project...Er prior years projection models 1041.3 41.8e'Lnear Extepofalion Method"for CHCCS,
<br /> tat Annual gmWih rate calCUlaled using actual membership rot years 200001 through 201314 and average membership for years 2014-15 Woo.202334
<br /> OCS Student Projections 111 w1N,:3epmsnm1 8416.770049335,091 se.
<br /> High
<br /> 00540141537 2004.01 2001-52 200243 2003.04 200405 200506 400647 200745 200309 205946 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 .2013.14 201415 201546 2016-17 221748 2018-19 2019.20 202031 2021-22 2022.23 2023.24
<br /> Actual 0.972 C IMMITMEM rl 2.124 2,184 2,201 2.202 2,217 2,222 2,283 2315 2,421 •
<br /> llscnlerm 2,463 2 540 ,591 2,750 2.823 2.845
<br /> C Here. .2.434 2,459 2,484 2534 2574 2,518 2652 2605 2,718 2,70
<br /> 2,404 2,358 2,401 2,471 413 2,529 2,581 2,616 2688 2,698
<br /> 5.0-Groot 2
<br /> t 2.436 2418 2,461 2.523 2999 2.583 2,631 2,678 2.744 2,802
<br /> 3 Year 0107111 ,294 2.312 2,448 2,548 2,519 2,62] 2,653 2,731
<br /> A rv0a 2 2 592 2 726
<br /> A ua80501.s-Insmase 4mease n Adria(IL Pre'ec1fd Membef214. �� ._99 170 2415 2.011. 2,40. 2133 5 2,534 '4650 2,64, 2,110 2762 T.T25
<br /> ����-Y}ll© � 06 15 65 1 42 3> 63
<br /> Capacity-100,.Level 01Sotto 1,510 1,510 8 2,518 2616 7318 2,533 2,533 2,558 3559 2,439 2439 2,439 2,439 7,139 2,439 2439 Tp39 2.939 2939
<br /> o 0 0n a 5(001 and 718(00(04.Over(Under)100%10s 16001 (0311 (451) (,541 P. 32( (3151 1) 2(3361 2(275) 2(124) (19 33
<br /> Number rm a t A �� ( 1 1 128) 29 94 ifi1 203 303 328
<br /> 110%Leve10,Service 1,6]0 /1,070 2770 2,770 2770 2,710 2,766 2.780. 2.814 2.819 \2,814 2.810 1.680 2,83 2683 0,098 5603 2.683 633 6113 681 93 03
<br /> Number or Svocn4CrAActual and Pra(1Cled,Over(Under1110515S tl0.t,o 115.5%¢ 19420 7(881) 8113) 85461 8(631) 8(105) 0(5}2) 8597( ,1590 (531 (308 ,64( 12}7) (272( (4151 (150) 21199) 2(83) 21411 2,614) 2,s 59 04
<br /> A0( I,L 1 1s z6 49% u,. ea. fiz 69% 61°6 �3 sz'n as 9.ye�
<br /> v .. - 96.7, 96.856 101,2% 103.95 103.9% 06,5, 1003% 109,8% 12.4. 113.5%
<br /> Annual Student Growth Ralel3)) 8 em gensnm a,m3 seumrsxm2 7,/i _ 4,64% 428% 3.23% B.01% 3.26% 262% 0.76% 1,86% 1.12% 0,23% 5%" 1.40% 558%\ -0.61% 0,18% 2.40% 2.03% 0.01% 42,9, 1,2% ld8% 12.36,, 893%
<br /> rams.,6.198NtmameSt34 waot7amx� \ .g-547 50800 280902 pe ml sae? I
<br /> indicates when distal surpasses 9c1w06.135O recommended Leval...Moo \
<br /> IpaMUWpMZmr%889.3 Sd,M r4oram-quay aMm
<br /> 011116 Impotlanto not provides is reflects the November 15.2019 4431 of m0.01-ship as 09¢70¢4 in ryth5SChoola 1820 00lc Pub0o Facirfics ordinance,
<br /> m The Tischler Model provides foriher"Linear Method"of projections for Loin CHCCS and GCS.Original projections used In pnoryears projection models Included.'Linear axlrayolation Meth.'ru CHCCS,
<br /> 00 Annual 41,36 rale 00(0510(44 using actual membership for years200001 thmug5 2013-1421d average membership(0r years 2014-15503005 2023-29
<br /> The Tischer Medd uses 14 years of historical data.but m l0 spars cons7ainis only 10 years of historical dale are Included in IM1e above tables, •
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