Agenda - 05-08-2014 - 6g - Laserfiche WebLink

Browse Search

N O STUDENT MEMBERSHIP PROJECTIONS PROJECTION TYPE DESCRIPTION I CHARACTERISTICS FORMULA ASSUMPTIONS Tischler Linear (OCS & CHCCS) Mathematical formula; straight line projection y= ((c*b) *x) +b y--projected population; c= historical annual change, b =base year; x= projection years Historical growth is reflected in projected growth BYM + (BYI + 5(n)) = EYM EYM * %SL =EYMISL Baseyeargrowth reflect 10- yearaverage; OCP Linear Wave Mathematical linear with percent variation among school BYM= base year 2nd month membership; BYI =year student membership increment increase increase in BYI of 5 every other year reflects (OCS) levels; reflects progressing waves of membership o o base; EYM = ensuing year membership; n= projection year; /oSL =/o of total in housing growth; reflects buildout membership per school level (i.e. elementary, middle, high); EYMISL= ensuing year constraints member by school level BYM + (BYI - 15(n)) = EYM EYM * %SL = EYMISL Base year growth reflects 10 -year average; OCP Linear Wave Mathematical linear with percent variation among school BYM= base year 2nd month membership; BYI -year student membership inclement decrease in BY] of 15 until school year 2010 -2011 (CHCCS) CHCCS levels; reflects progressing waves of membership p g g p u c base; EYM = ensuing year membership; n= projection year; /oSL= /o of total reflects decreases in housing growth; reflects membership per school level (i.e. elementary, middle, high); EYM /SL= ensuing year buildout constraints member by school level K„ =k,,.r +(kn.r *0.01) Mathematical formula that computes the average n =1 advancement rate over the previous 3 years for each a =(Y G„ I g,,) 13 Assumes a 1 % annual growth rate for the 3 -Year Cohort (OCS & grade level and then uses each rate to calculate n =3 kindergarten grade level; assumes the same CHCCS) projected membership by school level; an assumed b=g mr (a) percentage of students in each grade level kindergarten membership is based on birth records K= kindergarten membership; n =given school year; G =given grade's graduate to the next level each year and/or historical growth rates membership(other than kindergarten); g= previous grade's membership; a =ave €age advancement rate; b= projected membership K„= k„- 1+(k„1 *0.01) Mathematical formula that computes the average n =1 advancement rate over the previous 5 years for each a =(Y G„ 1 g,,.r)15 Assumes a 1 % annual growth rate for the 5 year Cohort (OCS & grade level and then uses each rate to calculate n =5 kindergarten grade level; assumes the same CHCCS) projected membership by school level; an assumed b =g .,r (a) percentage of students in each grade level kindergarten membership is based on birth records K= kindergarten membership; n =given school year; G =given grade's graduate to the next level each year andlor historical growth rates membership(other than kindergarten); g= previous grade's membership; a= average advancement rate; b= projected membership K„ =k,,.1 + Ilk, *0.01) Mathematical formula that computes the average n =1 advancement rate over the previous 10 years for each a =(Y G„ 1 9„.1) 110 Assumes a 1% annual growth rate for the 1 D year Cohort (OCS & grade level and then uses each rate to calculate n =10 kindergarten grade level; assumes the same CHCCS) projected membership by school level; an assumed b =g n.1 (a) percentage of students in each grade level kindergarten membership is based on birth records K= kindergarten membership; n =given school year; G=given grade's graduate to the next level each year andlor historical growth rates membership(other than kindergarten); g= previous grade's membership; a= average advancement rate; b= projected membership n O' W