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High School Level <br />A. Does not currently exceed the 110% LOS standard (current LOS is 97.1 %). <br />B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to decrease, but remain positive over <br />the next 10 years (average -1.3% compared to 1.86% over the past 10 years). <br />C. Expansion of Carrboro High School from the initial capacity of 800 students to the <br />ultimate capacity of 1,200 students is projected to be needed in 2023- 24.This is three <br />years later than last year's projections which showed a need in 2020 -21. <br />ORANGE COUNTY SCHOOL DISTRICT <br />Elementary School Level <br />A. Does not currently exceed 105% LOS standard (current LOS is 92.9 %). <br />B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected decrease but remain positive over the <br />next 10 years (average —1.3% compared to 1.6% over the past 10 years). <br />C. Orange County Elementary School 4 8 is projected to be needed in 2023 -24. This is a <br />change from last year's projections which did not show a need for a new Elementary <br />School in the 10 year projection period. <br />10 <br />Middle School Level <br />A. Does not currently exceed 107% LOS standard (current LOS is 80.7 %). <br />B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to increase at a greater rate over the <br />next 10 years (average -1.4% compared to 0.35% over the past 10 years). <br />C. Projections are not showing a need for an additional Middle School in the 10 year <br />projection period. Staff continues to monitor new development activity in the Orange <br />County portion of Mebane, which is not a party to the Schools APFO MOU at this time. <br />High School Level <br />A. Does not currently exceed 110% LOS standard (current LOS is 99.3 %). <br />B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to decrease but remain positive over <br />the next 10 years (average —1.4% compared to 2.4% over the past 10 years). <br />C. Expansion of Cedar Ridge High School from the initial capacity of 500 students to the <br />1,500 students is projected to be needed in 2022 -23. This is a change from last year's <br />projections which did not show a need for additional capacity in the 10 -year projection <br />period. <br />Changes in CAPS (Certificate of Adequate Public Schools) System <br />As a result of a North Carolina Supreme Court ruling in August 2012, the local governments that <br />are party to the SAPFO considered modification of their development regulations as they pertain <br />to CAPS in 2013. However, at this time the local governments have not pursued revisions to <br />existing standards contained within the CAPS system or SAPFO MOUs. <br />iii <br />