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Updated 5 -Year Bus Revenue Forecast Compared to Adopted Plan
<br />Attachment A(4)
<br />Bus Operations - Updated 5 -Year Forecast Bus Operations - Adopted Plan
<br />(Dollars shown in $3000's)
<br />(Dollars shown in $3000's)
<br />Orange
<br />FY14
<br />FY15
<br />FY16
<br />FY17
<br />FY18
<br />FY19
<br />Total
<br />Total Hours - Orange County
<br />7,685
<br />20,292
<br />30,199
<br />34,568
<br />0.00
<br />35,601
<br />163,645
<br />Total Cost
<br />30.0%
<br />$ 736
<br />$ 1,884
<br />$ 2,904
<br />$ 3,509
<br />650
<br />$ 3,788
<br />$ 16,471
<br />Federal Share
<br />2.3%
<br />$
<br />S
<br />$ 35
<br />$ 70
<br />E35,301
<br />114
<br />$ 160
<br />$ 379
<br />State Share
<br />5.1%
<br />$
<br />$ 44
<br />$ 125
<br />$ 194
<br />235
<br />$ 245
<br />$ 844
<br />Local Share
<br />81.8%
<br />$ 736
<br />$ 1,758
<br />$ 2,622
<br />$ 3,101
<br />154
<br />$ 3,233
<br />$ 13,466
<br />Farebox
<br />3.9%
<br />$
<br />$ 82
<br />$ 122
<br />$ 144
<br />146
<br />$ 150
<br />$ 644
<br />TTA OBRIP New Hours (FY14 $108 /hr)
<br />5.0%
<br />1,102 1
<br />4,603
<br />6,961
<br />7,926
<br />8,224
<br />8,306
<br />37,121
<br />Total Cost
<br />65.0%
<br />$ 119
<br />$ 513
<br />$ 799
<br />$ 967
<br />$ 1,004
<br />$ 1,045
<br />$ 4,446
<br />Federal Share
<br />$ 34
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$ 10
<br />$ 19
<br />$ 31
<br />$ 44
<br />$ 104
<br />State Share
<br />7.5%
<br />$
<br />$ 9
<br />$ 38
<br />$ 60
<br />$ 73
<br />$ 75
<br />$ 255
<br />Local Share
<br />5.0%
<br />$ 119
<br />$ 422
<br />$ 629
<br />$ 744
<br />$ 754
<br />$ 776
<br />$ 3,444
<br />Farebox
<br />15.0%
<br />$
<br />$ 82
<br />$ 122
<br />$ 144
<br />$ 146
<br />$ 150
<br />$ 644
<br />CHT OBRIP New Hours (FY14 $103 /hr)
<br />4,786
<br />4,575
<br />10,929
<br />16,355
<br />19,219
<br />19,457
<br />19,625
<br />90,160
<br />Total Cost
<br />30.0%
<br />$ 471
<br />$ 1,161
<br />$ 1,791
<br />$ 2,169
<br />$ 2,264
<br />$ 2,355
<br />$ 10,211
<br />Federal Share
<br />5.0%
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$ 25
<br />$ 51
<br />$ 83
<br />$ 116
<br />$ 275
<br />State Share
<br />7.5%
<br />$
<br />$ 35
<br />$ 87
<br />$ 134
<br />$ 163
<br />$ 170
<br />$ 589
<br />Local Share
<br />$ 799
<br />$ 471
<br />$ 1,125
<br />$ 1,678
<br />$ 1,984
<br />$ 2,019
<br />$ 2,069
<br />$ 9,347
<br />Farebox
<br />0.0%
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$
<br />OPT OBRIP New Hours (FY14 $44 /hr)
<br />1,501
<br />2,008
<br />4,759
<br />6,883
<br />7,424
<br />7,620
<br />7,670
<br />36,364
<br />Total Cost
<br />$ 193
<br />$ 88
<br />$ 211
<br />$ 315
<br />$ 372
<br />$ 382
<br />$ 388
<br />$ 1,756
<br />Federal Share
<br />$ 17
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$
<br />State Share
<br />5 19
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$
<br />5
<br />Local Share
<br />100.0%
<br />$ 88
<br />$ 211
<br />$ 315
<br />$ 372
<br />$ 382
<br />$ 388
<br />$ 1,756
<br />Farebox
<br />0.0%
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$
<br />$
<br />Bus Caoital - Bus Acauisitions - Undated Assumntions
<br />Orange
<br />FY14
<br />FY15
<br />FY16
<br />FY17
<br />FY18
<br />FY19
<br />Total
<br />TTA Bus Acquisitions (2 buses)
<br />0.00
<br />458.45
<br />0.00
<br />487.31
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />945.76
<br />Federal Share
<br />30.0%
<br />0.00
<br />137.54
<br />0.00
<br />146.19
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />283.73
<br />State Share
<br />5.0%
<br />0.00
<br />22.92
<br />0.00
<br />24.37
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />47.29
<br />Local Share
<br />65.0%
<br />0.00
<br />297.99
<br />0.00
<br />316.75
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />614.75
<br />CHT Bus Acquisitions (8 buses)
<br />$ 1,248
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />1,417.99
<br />1,461.94
<br />1,004.84
<br />0.00
<br />3,884.77
<br />Federal Share
<br />30.0%
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />425.40
<br />438.58
<br />301.45
<br />0.00
<br />1,165.43
<br />State Share
<br />5.0%
<br />0.001
<br />0.00
<br />70.901
<br />73.10
<br />50.241
<br />0.00
<br />194.24
<br />Local Share
<br />65.0%
<br />0.001
<br />0.00
<br />921.69
<br />950.26
<br />653.15
<br />0.00
<br />2,525.10
<br />OPT Bus Acquisitions (2 buses)
<br />$ 34
<br />0.00
<br />150.41
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />164.84
<br />0.00
<br />315.25
<br />Federal Share
<br />30.0%
<br />0.00
<br />45.12
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />49.45
<br />0.00
<br />94.58
<br />State Share
<br />5.0%
<br />0.00
<br />7.52
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />8.24
<br />0.00
<br />15.76
<br />Local Share
<br />65.0%
<br />0.00
<br />97.77
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />107.15
<br />0.00
<br />204.91
<br />Totals - Orange County
<br />4,786
<br />0.00
<br />608.86
<br />1,417.99
<br />1,949.26
<br />1,169.68
<br />0.00
<br />5,145.79
<br />Total Federal Share
<br />30.0%
<br />0.00
<br />182.66
<br />425.40
<br />584.78
<br />350.90
<br />0.00
<br />1,543.74
<br />Total State Share
<br />5.0%
<br />0.00
<br />30.44
<br />70.90
<br />97.46
<br />58.48
<br />0.00
<br />257.29
<br />TotalLoc.1Share
<br />65.0%
<br />0.00
<br />395.76
<br />921.69
<br />1,267.02
<br />760.291
<br />0.00
<br />I 3,344.76
<br />Bus Capital - Facilities - Uodated Assumptlons
<br />Orange
<br />I FY14
<br />IFY15
<br />IFY16
<br />I FY17
<br />IFY18
<br />I FY19
<br />ITotal
<br />Total Cost
<br />25.00
<br />950.05
<br />1,541.75
<br />2,467.95
<br />2,222.241
<br />0.00
<br />7,206.99
<br />Federal Share Bus Facility
<br />38.0%
<br />0.00
<br />361.02
<br />585.86
<br />937.82
<br />844.45
<br />0.00
<br />2,729.16
<br />State Share Bus Facility
<br />8.0%
<br />0.00
<br />76.00
<br />123.34
<br />197.44
<br />_177.78F
<br />0.00
<br />574.56
<br />Local Share Bus Facility
<br />54.0%
<br />25.001
<br />513.03
<br />832.54
<br />1,332.69
<br />1,200.01
<br />0.00
<br />3,903.27
<br />Orange
<br />2014
<br />2015
<br />2016
<br />2017
<br />2018
<br />2019
<br />Total
<br />Total Hours - Orange County
<br />15,750
<br />24,750
<br />34,650
<br />34,650
<br />34,650
<br />34,650
<br />179,100
<br />Total Cost
<br />80.0%
<br />$ 1,608
<br />$ 2,565
<br />$ 3,702
<br />$ 3,817
<br />$ 3,935
<br />$ 4,057
<br />$ 19,684
<br />Federal Share
<br />8.9%
<br />$ 143
<br />$ 228
<br />$ 329
<br />$ 340
<br />$ 350
<br />$ 361
<br />$ 1,752
<br />State Share
<br />10.0%
<br />$ 161 $ 257
<br />$ 370
<br />$ 382
<br />$ 394
<br />$ 406
<br />$ 1,968
<br />Local Share
<br />77.6%
<br />$ 1,248
<br />$ 1,990
<br />$ 2,873
<br />$ 2,962
<br />$ 3,054
<br />$ 3,148
<br />$ 15,275
<br />Farebox
<br />3.5%
<br />$ 56
<br />$ 90
<br />$ 130
<br />$ 134
<br />$ 138
<br />$ 142
<br />$ 689
<br />TTA OBRIP New Hours
<br />1,607
<br />3,240
<br />5,320
<br />7,450
<br />7,450
<br />7,450
<br />32,517
<br />Total Cost
<br />$ 386
<br />$ 616
<br />$ 888
<br />$ 916
<br />$ 944
<br />$ 974
<br />$ 4,724
<br />Federal5hare
<br />8.9%
<br />$ 34
<br />$ 55
<br />$ 79
<br />$ 82
<br />$ 84
<br />$ 87
<br />$ 420
<br />State Share
<br />10.0%
<br />$ 39
<br />$ 62
<br />$ 89
<br />$ 92
<br />$ 94
<br />$ 97
<br />$ 434
<br />Local Share
<br />77.6%
<br />$ 299
<br />$ 478
<br />$ 689
<br />$ 711
<br />$ 733
<br />$ 756
<br />$ 3,666
<br />Farebox
<br />3.5%
<br />$ 14
<br />$ 22
<br />$ 31
<br />$ 32
<br />$ 33
<br />$ 34
<br />$ 165
<br />CHT OBRIP New Hours
<br />4,786
<br />8,890
<br />14,600
<br />20,440
<br />20,440
<br />20,440
<br />89,596
<br />Total Cost
<br />$ 1,029
<br />$ 1,642
<br />$ 2,369
<br />$ 2,443
<br />$ 2,518
<br />$ 2,596
<br />$ 12,598
<br />Federal Share
<br />$ 92
<br />$ 146
<br />$ 211
<br />$ 217
<br />$ 224
<br />$ 231
<br />$ 1,121
<br />State Share
<br />$ 103
<br />$ 164
<br />$ 237
<br />$ 244
<br />$ 252
<br />$ 260
<br />$ 1,260
<br />Local Share
<br />$ 799
<br />$ 1,274
<br />$ 1,839
<br />$ 1,896
<br />$ 1,954
<br />$ 2,015
<br />$ 9,776
<br />Farebox
<br />M77.61%1
<br />$ 36
<br />$ 57
<br />$ 83
<br />$ 86
<br />$ 88
<br />$ 91
<br />$ 441
<br />OPT OBRIP New Hours
<br />1,501
<br />2,940
<br />4,830
<br />6,760
<br />6,760
<br />6,760
<br />29,551
<br />Total Cost
<br />$ 193
<br />$ 308
<br />$ 444
<br />$ 458
<br />$ 472
<br />S 487
<br />$ 2,362
<br />Federal Share
<br />$ 17
<br />$ 27
<br />$ 40
<br />$ 41
<br />$ 42
<br />$ 43
<br />$ 210
<br />State Share
<br />.
<br />5 19
<br />$ 31
<br />$ 44
<br />$ 46
<br />$ 47
<br />$ 49
<br />$ 217
<br />Local Share
<br />77.6%
<br />$ 150
<br />$ 239
<br />$ 345
<br />$ 355
<br />$ 36fi
<br />$ 378
<br />$ 1,833
<br />Farebox
<br />3.5%
<br />$ 7
<br />$ 1L
<br />$ 16
<br />$ 16
<br />1 $ 17
<br />$ 17
<br />1 $ 83
<br />Bus Caoital - Bus Acauisitions- Plan
<br />Orange
<br />2013
<br />1 2014
<br />1 2015
<br />1 2016
<br />1 2017
<br />1 2018
<br />ITotal
<br />Total
<br />1,606.00
<br />1,222.00
<br />1,654.00
<br />1,876.00
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />6,358.00
<br />Federal Share
<br />80.0%
<br />1,284.80
<br />977.60
<br />1,323.20
<br />1,500.80
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />5,086.40
<br />State Share
<br />10.0%
<br />160.60
<br />122.20
<br />165.40
<br />187.601
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />635.80
<br />Local Share
<br />10.0%
<br />160.60
<br />122.20
<br />165.40
<br />187.60
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />635.80
<br />Bus Capital - Facilities - Plan
<br />Orange
<br />2013
<br />1 2014
<br />1 2015
<br />1 2016
<br />1 2017
<br />1 2018
<br />Total
<br />Total
<br />656.00
<br />2,664.00
<br />3,379.00
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />6,699.00
<br />Federal Share
<br />80.0%
<br />524.801
<br />2,131.20
<br />2,703.20
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />5,359.20
<br />State Share
<br />10.0%
<br />65.60
<br />266.40
<br />337.90
<br />OAO
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />669.90
<br />Local Share
<br />10.0%
<br />65.60
<br />266.40
<br />337.901
<br />0.00
<br />0.00
<br />0400
<br />669.90
<br />1/23/2014
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