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105 <br /> x�^ <br /> :'m F'ro^ect Deve�lopnieint Scope of Work <br /> 8,6 Trave� I::oirecasthmg (�Y 20.1.5 New Stairts SmbryflsS[on/DHS) <br /> &6A. Mod6| Matfornn/Data Update/VaBdatfon <br /> The platform for modeling will be migrated from Triangle Regional Model Version 4E2 to Version S. The <br /> migration will permit usage of data and socioeconomic forecasts that have previously been prepared for <br /> regional modeling activities and obviate the need to translate these data into input files for use with the <br /> TRM Version 4E2. It is advisable to confirm this migration plan with FTA prior to full commencement to <br /> ensure there are no unforeseen concernsz <br /> Activities under this task include: <br /> 1D Review 2010 model output against the latest available observed traffic counts and ridership <br /> information (e.g., surveys and counts),with an emphasis on the study area. <br /> * Define and confirm analysis district system for reporting New Starts, DE|S, and HIS results. <br /> w Perform trip table comparisons (compare to latest 5-year ACS/[TPP).Prepare travel time <br /> analyses and comparisons (average speeds, travel times, comparisons with mode[ differences <br /> by time of day, transit and highway estimates).Confirm/ad]ust existing and regional plan bus <br /> network coding asnecessary. <br /> � <br /> Notify on significant deficiencies that would require additional resources to be addressed. Make <br /> minor adjustments in the model, if necessary and subject to resource limitations, to improve the <br /> match between estimated and observed travel patterns for major travel flows and between <br /> estimated and observed ridership for major transit markets. <br /> � URS team will prepare validation and methodology report suitable for inclusion with the New <br /> Starts and DE|Sdocumentation. <br /> � <br /> One person trip to North Carolina has been assumed for this effort. In addition, an allowance for <br /> preparation and attendance at regular teleconferences on review of the model, data, and model <br /> validation are provided for; in-person meetings with FTA can be held as needed. <br /> Deliverable: <br /> IN Model Platform/ Data Update /Va|idation <br /> 8.6,2 Eva|uation of A8ternatiwes <br /> The alternatives to be reviewed will be drawn from the Alternatives Analysis and prior effort preparing <br /> New Starts submission to enter Project Development, including No-Build and Build scenarios. <br /> * An allowance to address up to four Build scenarios is included in the estimate. <br /> w Transit ridership will be reported, including station level boardinQs. <br /> ~ Analysis years will be 2010\ 2025, and 2040. /For New Starts submission interpolation will be <br /> necessary to address FTA1U, 3O horizon year requirements. <br /> In the event this migration plan is not ultimately deemed as advisable,there will then be a need to migrate the <br /> TRIVI Version 5 data and socioeconomic forecasts to the TRM Version 4E2 platform to permit use of a 2010 <br /> validation year and ZO4U horizon year. <br /> Duirhamn-Orange Light UO Transit Project | June 2013 U8-6 DRAF r <br />