Orange County NC Website
B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to increase at a greater rate over the <br />next 10 years than it has in the previous 10 years (average —1. 6% compared to an average <br />of 0.67% over the past 10 years). <br />C. Chapel Hill / Carrboro Middle School 45 is projected to be needed in 2017 -18 (no change <br />from last year). <br />High School Level <br />A. Does not currently exceed the 110% LOS standard (current LOS is98.0 %). <br />B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to decrease but remain positive over <br />the next 10 years (average —1.6% compared to 1.86% over the past 10 years. <br />C. Expansion of Carrboro High School from the initial capacity of 800 students to the <br />ultimate capacity of 1,200 students is projected to be needed in 2020 -21 (no change from <br />last year). <br />ORANGE COUNTY SCHOOL DISTRICT <br />Elementary School Level <br />A. Does not currently exceed 105% LOS standard (current LOS is92.1 %). <br />B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected decrease but remain positive over the <br />next 10 years (average —1.3% compared to 1.6% over the past 10 years). <br />C. Projections are not showing a need for an additional Elementary School in the 10 year <br />projection period. This is a change from last year which showed a need for a new <br />Elementary School in 2020 -21. This year's projections show a LOS of 104.9% in 2022- <br />23. <br />Middle School Level <br />A. Does not currently exceed 107% LOS standard (current LOS is77.7 %). <br />B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to increase at a greater rate over the <br />next 10 years (average —1.6% compared to 0.36% over the past 10 years). <br />C. Projections are not showing a need for an additional Middle School in the 10 year <br />projection period. Staff continues to monitor new development activity in the Orange <br />County portion of Mebane, which is not a party to the Schools APFO MOU at this time. <br />High School Level <br />A. Does not currently exceed 110% LOS (current LOS is94.9 %). <br />B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to decrease but remain positive over <br />the next 10 years (average —1.4% compared to 2.4% over the past 10 years). <br />C. Projections are not showing a need for an additional High School in the 10 year <br />projection period although capacity at the High School level decreased by 119 students <br />this year as a result of a N.C. Department of Public Instruction (DPI) study. This <br />year's projections show a LOS of 109.3% in 2022 -23. <br />Changes in CAPS (Certificate of Adequate Public Schools) System <br />As a result of a North Carolina Supreme Court ruling in August 2012, it is anticipated that the <br />local governments that are party to the SAPFO will consider modification of their development <br />regulations as they pertain to CAPS in 2013. New language for consideration is being developed <br />iii <br />