Agenda - 05-23-1988 - Laserfiche WebLink

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73 Population and Land Requirement Projections One of the initial and fundamental steps in the land use planning process is calculating the amount of land required to accommodate projected growth in a given area. Generally, the amount of land required for residential and associated non-residential uses are directly related to the size of the population. Tables 3- through 3- summarize the population trends and estimated land requirements for Chapel Hill Township north of the JPA during the plan period. Table 3- summarizes population estimates and projections for population, while Table 3- projects the number of new homes, required to meet the demands of new residents. The average household sizes used for projections in Table 3- assume that the trends towards smaller household sizes will continue,' leveling off towards the end of the plan period. The projected averages, though, are greater than those used for other townships. This is a reflection of construction trends in the area. The square footage of new site built homes in Chapel Hill Township has been larger than other areas of the County, approximately 46%, or 780 square feet greater during 1987. As such, a slightly higher average household size is projected. TABLE 3- POPULATION PROJECTIONS AND ESTIMATES, 1980-2005 CHAPEL HILL TOWNSHIP NORTH OF THE JOINT PLANNING AREA a b c c c c 1980 1987 1990 1995 2000 2005 Total Population 551 886 1,086 1,524 2,140 3,005 Population Change from 1980 (number) --- 335 535 973 1,589 2,454 a Sources: 1980 Census of Population and Orange County b Planning Department statistics c Source: Orange County Planning Department Based on a standard expontential extrapolation of the average growth rate from 1980-1987 of 7.02% annually. 7