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Section II <br />M <br />projection. Additional High School capacity is expected to be achieved by expanding Carrboro <br />High School from 800 students to 1,200 students, which was included in the construction plans <br />for the high school. <br />Orange County School District <br />Elementary <br />The previous year (2011 -12) projections for November 2012 at this level were overestimated by <br />35 students. The actual membership increased by 55 students. Over the previous ten years, this <br />level has experienced varying growth rates including a decrease in membership in 2005 -06. <br />Growth rates during this period have ranged from -0.33% to +2.80 %. In the Orange County <br />school system, historic growth is more closely related to new residential development than in the <br />Chapel Hill - Carrboro School District, which has a sizeable number of new families in older, <br />existing housing stock. Last year's projections showed the need for an additional Elementary <br />School in 2020 -21 but due to the projected slowing of the growth rate, this year's projections do <br />not show the need for a new Elementary School in the 10 year projection period. However, it <br />should be noted that the Level of Service in 2022 -23 is projected to be 104.9% with only 4 seats <br />available before going over 105% level of service. <br />Although not included in SAPFO school capacity or membership numbers, Pre -K programs <br />continue to impact operations at District elementary schools where Pre -K programs exist. <br />Middle <br />The previous year (2011 -12) projections for November 2012 for this level were overestimated by <br />32 students. The actual membership decreased by 20. Over the previous ten years, growth has <br />varied widely and includes decreases in student membership in 5 of the 10 years, including this <br />year which saw a decrease of 20 students. Student membership has grown by only 13 students in <br />the past 10 years. The district's third Middle School, Gravelly Hill Middle School, opened in <br />October 2006. The need for an additional Middle School is not anticipated in the 10 -year <br />projection period. However, staff is closely monitoring new sizeable residential projects in the <br />Orange County portion of Mebane and Hillsborough. <br />31 <br />