Agenda - 03-19-2013 - 5d - Laserfiche WebLink

Browse Search

Section II 2 3 C. Student Projections Responsible Entity for Suggesting Change — The updating of this section will be conducted by the Planning Directors, School Representatives, and Technical Advisory Committee (SAPFOTAC) and referred to the BOCC for annual report certifications. Projections will be distributed to SAPFO partners for review and comments to the BOCC prior to certification. Definition — The result of the average of the five student projection models represented by 10 year numerical membership projections by school level (Elementary, Middle, and High) for each school district (Chapel Hill /Carrboro School District and Orange County School District). Standard for: Chapel Hill Carrboro School District Standard for: Orange County School District The 5 model average discussed in Section II.B The 5 model average discussed in Section II.B (Student Projection Methodology) See Attachment II.C.4 4. Analysis of Existing Conditions (Student Projection Methodology) See Attachment II.C.3 The membership figures and percentage growth on the attachments show continued growth in both systems. Although in past years there was much more variability in growth rates between the two school systems, averages projected growth rates in the next 10 years for both school systems are quite similar. Both school systems are showing a projected decrease in the increase (but still showing positive growth) at Elementary and High School levels. At the Middle School level, both school districts are projected to grow at a faster rate, on average, in the next 10 years than the average for the last 10 years. Year -by -year percent growth is shown on the attached table as well as the projected LOS. The projections models were updated using current (November 15) memberships. Ten years of student membership were projected thereafter. Wei MI