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Attachment II.B.3 43 <br />Section II (page 4 of 4) <br />Chapel Hill /Carrboro School District <br />School Membership 2012 -2013 School Year (November 15, 2012) <br />Statistical Findings <br />PROJECTION TYPE ABBREVIATIONS <br />`TISCHLER' LINEAR (T) <br />10 -YEAR COHORT (10C) <br />ORANGE COUNTY PLANNING (OCP) <br />5 -YEAR COHORT (5C) <br />3 -YEAR COHORT (3C) <br />Elementary School Level <br />• Projections were primarily high, ranging from 12 students low to 66 students high. On <br />average, the projections were 29 students higher than the actual membership. <br />• The actual membership increased by 79 students between November 15, 2011 and <br />November 15, 2012. <br />Middle School Level <br />• Projections were mixed low and high, ranging from 17 students low to 22 students high. <br />On average, the projections were 11 students higher than the actual membership. <br />• The actual membership increased by 32 students between November 15, 2011 and <br />November 15, 2012. <br />High School Level <br />• Projections were primarily low, ranging from 31 students low to 33 students high. On <br />average, the projections were 13 students lower than the actual membership. <br />• The actual membership increased by 82 students between November 15, 2011 and <br />November 15, 2012. <br />TOTAL <br />• The total of all school level projections were primarily high, ranging from 19 below actual <br />membership to 66 student above actual membership. On average the projections were <br />high by 27 students. <br />• The membership increased in total by 193 students, which is the sum of +79 at <br />Elementary, +32 at Middle, and +82 at High. <br />