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Attachment II.B.2 39 <br />Section II (page 4 of 4) <br />Chapel Hill /Carrboro School District <br />School Membership 2011 -2012 School Year (November 15, 2011) <br />Statistical Findings <br />PROJECTION TYPE ABBREVIATIONS <br />`TISCHLER' LINEAR (T) <br />10 -YEAR COHORT (10C) <br />ORANGE COUNTY PLANNING (OCP) <br />5 -YEAR COHORT (5C) <br />3 -YEAR COHORT (3C) <br />Elementary School Level <br />• Projections were all low, ranging from 45 students to 84 students lower than the actual <br />November 15, 2011 membership numbers. On average, the projections were 66 <br />students lower than the actual membership. <br />• The actual membership increased by 168 students between November 15, 2010 and <br />November 15, 2011. <br />Middle School Level <br />• Projections were primarily low, ranging from 20 students low to 17 students higher than <br />the actual membership. On average, the projections were 4 students lower than the <br />actual membership. <br />• The actual membership increased by 31 students between November 15, 2010 and <br />November 15, 2011. <br />High School Level <br />• Projections were primarily low, ranging from 69 students below to 29 students higher <br />than the actual membership. On average, the projections were 27 students lower than <br />the actual membership. <br />• The actual membership increased by 74 students between November 15, 2010 and <br />November 15, 2011. <br />TOTAL <br />• The total of all school level projections were low, ranging from 48 to 172 students below. <br />On average the projections were low by 97 students. <br />• The membership increased in total by 273 students, which is the sum of +168 at <br />Elementary, +31 at Middle, and +74 at High. <br />24 <br />