Orange County NC Website
Attachment II.B.2 37 <br />Section II (page 2 of 4) <br />Orange County School District <br />School Membership 2011 -2012 School Year (November 15, 2011) <br />Statistical Findings <br />PROJECTION TYPE ABBREVIATIONS <br />`TISCHLER' LINEAR (T) <br />10 -YEAR COHORT (10C) <br />ORANGE COUNTY PLANNING (OCP) <br />5 -YEAR COHORT (5C) <br />3 -YEAR COHORT 3C <br />Elementary School Level <br />• Projections were primarily high, ranging from 5 students low to 31 students high. The <br />average of the projections was 14 students higher than actual student membership. <br />• The membership actually increased by 63 students between November 15, 2010 and <br />November 15, 2011. <br />Middle School Level <br />• Projections were primarily high, ranging from 6 students low to 25 students high. On <br />average, the projections were 12 students higher than the actual membership. <br />• The membership actually increased by 6 students between November 15, 2010 and <br />November 15, 2011. <br />High School Level <br />• Projections were entirely low ranging from being low by 7 students to 34 students. On <br />average, the projections were 20 students lower than the actual membership. <br />• The membership actually increased by 61 students between November 15, 2010 and <br />November 15, 2011. <br />TOTAL <br />• The totals of all school level projections were mixed low and high, ranging from 13 below <br />actual membership to 34 above actual membership. On average, the projections were <br />high by 6 students. <br />• The membership increased in total by 130 students, which is the sum of +63 at <br />Elementary, + 6 at Middle and +61 at High. <br />22 <br />