Agenda - 03-19-2013 - 5d - Laserfiche WebLink

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B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to increase at a greater rate over the next 10 years than it has in the previous 10 years (average —1. 6% compared to an average of 0.67% over the past 10 years). C. Chapel Hill / Carrboro Middle School 45 is projected to be needed in 2017 -18 (no change from last year). High School Level A. Does not currently exceed the 110% LOS standard (current LOS is98.0 %). B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to decrease but remain positive over the next 10 years (average —1.6% compared to 1.86% over the past 10 years. C. Expansion of Carrboro High School from the initial capacity of 800 students to the ultimate capacity of 1,200 students is projected to be needed in 2020 -21 (no change from last year). ORANGE COUNTY SCHOOL DISTRICT Elementary School Level A. Does not currently exceed 105% LOS standard (current LOS is92.1 %). B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected decrease but remain positive over the next 10 years (average —1.3% compared to 1.6% over the past 10 years). C. Projections are not showing a need for an additional Elementary School in the 10 year projection period. This is a change from last year which showed a need for a new Elementary School in 2020 -21. This year's projections show a LOS of 104.9% in 2022- 23. Middle School Level A. Does not currently exceed 107% LOS standard (current LOS is77.7 %). B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to increase at a greater rate over the next 10 years (average —1.6% compared to 0.36% over the past 10 years). C. Projections are not showing a need for an additional Middle School in the 10 year projection period. Staff continues to monitor new development activity in the Orange County portion of Mebane, which is not a party to the Schools APFO MOU at this time. High School Level A. Does not currently exceed 110% LOS (current LOS is94.9 %). B. The projected growth rate at this level is expected to decrease but remain positive over the next 10 years (average —1.4% compared to 2.4% over the past 10 years). C. Projections are not showing a need for an additional High School in the 10 year projection period although capacity at the High School level decreased by 119 students this year as a result of a N.C. Department of Public Instruction (DPI) study. This year's projections show a LOS of 109.3% in 2022 -23. Changes in CAPS (Certificate of Adequate Public Schools) System As a result of a North Carolina Supreme Court ruling in August 2012, it is anticipated that the local governments that are party to the SAPFO will consider modification of their development regulations as they pertain to CAPS in 2013. New language for consideration is being developed iii 11