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In addition, many people consider the required nutrient reductions unattainable at nearly any <br />expense. The Falls Lake Rules include provisions for the Environmental Management <br />Commission (EMC) to consider additional information starting in 2020 for the re- examination of <br />Stage II of the rules. In 2011 the UNRBA hired a consultant "for the development of methods <br />by which the regulatory framework associated with the recently adopted Falls Lake Nutrient <br />Management Rules can be evaluated ". This consultant, CardnoEntrix, recently completed four <br />technical reports to begin the process of analyzing available means for altering Stage II of the <br />Falls Lake Rules. These reports, completed during the initial phase of what has been termed <br />"The Path Forward" process, are as follows: <br />1. Develop Framework for a Re- examination of Stage II of the Falls Nutrient Strategy <br />2. Review Existing Data and Reports for Falls Lake and the Watershed <br />3. Estimation of Nutrient Loading to Falls Lake <br />4. Review of Existing Models and Recommendations for Future Studies <br />These reports summarize existing water quality information for Falls Lake and the surrounding <br />watershed, evaluate the lake modeling that DWQ completed during the development of the <br />Falls Lake Rules, assess other available models for representing the lake and watershed, <br />investigate the regulatory "framework" that guides water quality issues in North Carolina, and <br />detail a "roadmap" for the UNRBA to pursue in order to modify Stage II of the Falls Lake Rules. <br />As a result of this process, CardnoEntrix has provided the UNRBA a draft list of studies that are <br />recommended for completion in order to gain necessary information for incorporation into the <br />re- examination process (Attachment B). <br />The ultimate goal of The Path Forward process is to lower the nutrient reduction requirements <br />of Stage II of the Falls Lake Nutrient Management Strategy, while preserving the water supply <br />of the City of Raleigh. In addition, the UNRBA is interested in increasing the number of Best <br />Management Practices (BMPs) that have nutrient reduction credits established by DWQ for <br />their use. The UNRBA is beginning to work on determining nutrient reduction credits for a large <br />number of BMPs that should prove to be very helpful for both the agricultural community as well <br />as more developed urban areas to use in meeting their required nutrient reductions. Without <br />this work, urban areas would have only a few BMPs available to use in meeting the nutrient <br />reduction targets. The agricultural community has even fewer BMPs approved for use at this <br />time. Developing additional BMPs could prove to be extremely beneficial to the agricultural <br />producers in the Falls Lake watershed. <br />Given the amount of data that should be collected in pursuit of altering Stage II of the rules, it is <br />likely that the UNRBA will need to complete multiple studies of Falls Lake and the surrounding <br />watershed in the next five to ten years. <br />At this time, the Path Forward Committee of the UNRBA recommends that the studies listed on <br />Attachment 2 under the objectives entitled "Lake Response Modeling, Support of Regulatory <br />Options and then Source /Jurisdictional Loading" be completed. The Falls Lake Rules specify <br />that a minimum of three years of data must be collected to even be considered by the EMC <br />during the re- examination process. This fact, coupled with the volume of information that is in <br />need of collection, as well as the 2020 deadline for submitting data, underline the need to <br />initiate water quality monitoring in the near future. <br />During the development of the Falls Lake Rules, the majority of local governments in the Falls <br />Lake watershed adopted a document entitled Consensus Principles to Guide Falls Lake <br />