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generation rates based on historical trends in each of these areas. In order to <br /> reflect ongoing trends, it is important that the School Impact Fee/Student <br /> Generation Report be reviewed and updated on a regular basis such as every 4 to <br /> 5 years. <br /> The Tischler report projects an average annual growth of approximately 441 <br /> students for the two school districts. Current school year membership for the <br /> Chapel Hill-Carrboro system totals 9,585 (third month) and 6,254 for the Orange <br /> County system (fourth month) for a combined membership of 15,839. The report <br /> projects average annual growth of 441 students each year (285 for Chapel Hill- <br /> Carrboro and 156 for Orange County). Using the current year membership as a <br /> base, Figures 14 and 15 provide ten-year membership projections for the individual <br /> districts. <br /> Figure 14. Tischler Method <br /> CHCCS <br /> 15,000 11170 11488118M 12123 1 <br /> 10634 1ae53 <br /> 10,000 <br /> 5,000 <br /> 200, 2000 1200312004 12005 12005 2007 2006 ZOOS 2010 2011 <br /> ■ . 2815 2981 3009 3135 3234 3332 3429 3627 3524 3722 3820 <br /> O Ndit 12M Z25/I 2285 I 2380 I 2433 1 2507 2580 2W41 ZM71 2500 2874 <br /> In 4444 4501145M 147201485715014151611 W07154541 5501 I 5748 <br /> Elementary 0 Middle M High <br /> 13 <br /> 23 <br />