Orange County NC Website
TABLE OF CONTENTS <br /> Task Force Charge and Membership......................................................................................................4 <br /> Background................................................................................................................................................. 5 <br /> Figure 1. Orange County's Ten-Year Investment in New Schools.............................................. 5 <br /> Chapel Hill-Corrboro City Schools..................................................................................................6 <br /> Figure 2. Ten Year Investment in Chapel Hill Carrboro City Schools..........................................6 <br /> OrangeCounty Schools................................................................................................................... 7 <br /> Figure 3. Ten Year Investment in Orange County Schools.......................................................... 7 <br /> School Construction Standards....................................................................................................... 9 <br /> Figure 4. Current Capacity and Square Feet Standards............................................................ 9 <br /> ReportSummary....................................................................................................................................... 10 <br /> StudentCapacity....................................................................................................................................... 13 <br /> Figure 5. Student Capacity by School District............................................................................ 13 <br /> Use of Mobile or Relocatable Units............................................................................................... 14 <br /> Figure 6. Levels of Service Standards Identified in Schools Adequate Public Facilities <br /> Ordinance(SAPFO)........................................................................................................................ 14 <br /> Figure 7 School Districts Use of Mobile Units............................................................................... 15 <br /> Figure 8. Elementary School Capacity........................................................................................ 15 <br /> Figure 9. MiddleSchooi Capacity................................................................................................ 17 <br /> Figure 10. High School Capacity................................................................................................. 18 <br /> Best Practice for Projecting Number of Students................................................................................. 18 <br /> Determining Current Students....................................................................................................... 19 <br /> Methodologies Used in Projecting Future Students....................................................................21 <br /> Currently Available Methodologies..............................................................................................21 <br /> State Department of Public Instruction Model............................................................................22 <br /> Figure 12. Comparison of DPI Projections and Final ADM-CHCCS..................................................22 <br /> Figure 13. Comparison of DPI Projections and Final ADM-OCS.............................................22 <br /> Student Generation Report(771shcler)Model...............................................................................22 <br /> Figure 14. lishler Method Applied to CHCCS Membership......................................................23 <br /> Figure 15. lishler Method Applied to OCS Membership...........................................................24 <br /> Orange County Planning Department Model............................................................................24 <br /> Figure 16. Orange County Planning Projections-CHCCS Membership.................................24 <br /> Figure 17. Orange County Planning Projections- OCS Membership.....................................25 <br /> CohortSurvival Model....................................................................................................................26 <br /> Figure 18. Cohort Survival Analysis(5 Year Growth)-CHCCS Membership..........................26 <br /> Figure 19. Cohort Survival Analysis(5 Year Growth)- OCS Membership...............................26 <br /> Figure 20. Cohort Survival Analysis(3 Year Growth)- CHCCS Membership..........................27 <br /> Figure 21. Cohort Survival Analysis(3 Year Growth)- OCS Membership...............................27 <br /> Comparison of Available Models.................................................................................................28 <br /> Figure 22. CHCCS Projected Elementary Membership.............................................................29 <br /> Figure 23. CHCCS Projected Middle School Membership........................................................28 <br /> Figure 24. CHCCS Projected High School Membership............................................................29 <br /> Figure 25. OCS Projected Elementary Membership..................................................................29 <br /> Figure 26. OCS Projected Middle School Membership.............................................................30 <br /> Figure 27. OCS Projected High School Membership................................................................. 30 <br /> 2 <br />