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10 <br /> Chart 2 (attached) compares how the anticipated reduction of seats would affect our District's <br /> high school student membership projections with high school capacity. In summary: <br /> • Using SAPFO's Average Projection Model, the anticipated loss of 225 seats would <br /> mean that OCS would exceed 100% of high school capacity year after next in 2013- <br /> 14 and exceed 110% in 2019-20. <br /> • Using SAPFO's Three Year Projection Model, the anticipated loss of 225 seats would <br /> mean that OCS would exceed 100% of high school capacity in the upcoming school <br /> year, 2012-13, and exceed 110% in 2015-16. <br /> Again, our Board feels it important to keep our eye on projections generated using the Three <br /> Year Projection Model due to the factors stated earlier related to growth in the western area <br /> of the county. <br /> In reviewing the SAPFO projections and anticipating the outcome of the upcoming OHS <br /> space re-assessment, it became clear to our Board that there is an immediate need to move <br /> forward with an expansion at Cedar Ridge High School. Cedar Ridge High School (CRHS), <br /> originally constructed in 2001, has classroom capacity for 1,000 students and core facilities, <br /> such as library, cafeteria, etc., to accommodate 1,500 students. During original construction, <br /> the site was prepped for additional classroom space (to accommodate 500 students) and an <br /> auxiliary gymnasium. Thus the reason this expansion project now is reflected in our CIP <br /> Evidence of the growth our district is experiencing can be found in the 2010 Census data for <br /> total housing unit changes—examples include a 36% increase in Cheeks Township between <br /> 2000-10, 21% increase in Hillsborough during that period, increase of 20% in Little River <br /> Township, etc. These trends coupled with anticipated growth promulgated by the completion <br /> of the Efland Sewer project in the near future equate to a growing number of students for our <br /> District — growth for which we all must be prepared. We look forward to an opportunity to <br /> share our thoughts and ideas about Orange County Schools'future capital needs. <br /> Sincerely, <br /> Donna Coffey GI G" Stephen H. Halkiotis <br /> Chair Vice Chair <br /> cc: Frank Clifton, County Manager, Orange County <br /> Enclosures(2) <br /> Orange County Schools <br /> "Providing educational opportunities for successfid fi lures." <br />