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2012 SAPFOTAC Executive Summary <br />I. Base Memorandum of Understanding <br />A. Level of Service ..............................................(No Change).........Pg. 1 <br /> Chapel HilUCarrboro <br />School District Orange County <br />School District <br />Elementa 105% 105% <br />Middle 107% 107% <br />Hi h 110% 110% <br />B. Building Capacity and Membership .........................(Change)..........Pg. 2 <br /> Chapel HilUCarrboro <br />School District Orange County <br />School District <br /> Capacity Membership Increase from <br />Prior Year Capacity Membership Increase from <br />Prior Year <br />Elementa 5244 5464 168 3694 3348 63 <br />Middle 2840 2753 31 2166 1704 6 <br />Hi h 3875 3714 74 2558 2283 61 <br />C. Membership Date - November IS ........................(No Change).......Pg.17 <br />II. Annual Update to SAPFO System <br />A. Capital Investment Plan (CIP) ........................... .(Change)..........Pg. 18 <br />B. Student Membership Projection Methodology.......(No Change).......Pg. 19 <br />The average of 3, 5, and 10 year history/cohort survival, linear and arithmetic projection models. <br />C. Student Membership Projections ..............................(Change)...........Pg.29 <br />Analysis of 5 Years of Projections for 2011-12 School Year - Chapel Hill Carrboro City Schools <br />(The number in brackets [n] is the number of students the projection was off compared to actual membership. A number in pazenthesis <br />within the brackets [(n) ] indicates the projection was low compared to the actual whereas a number not in parenthesis indicates the <br />ro~ection was hi h com ared to the actual. <br /> Year Projection Made for 2011-12 Membership <br /> Actua12011 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-I1 <br /> Membershi <br />Elemen 5464 5654 190 5718 254 5623 159 5503 39 5398 66 <br />Middle 2753 2902 149] 2924 [171] 2885 132] 2791 [38 2749 4 <br />Hi 3714 3787 73 3860 146 3861 147 3724 10 3687 27 <br />