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Section H <br /> D. Student Growth Rate <br /> 1. Responsible Entity for Suggesting Change—The updating of this section will be <br /> conducted by the Planning Directors, School Representatives, Technical Advisory <br /> Committee (SAPFOTAC) each year and referred to the BOCC for annual report <br /> certification. <br /> Projections will be distributed to SAPFO partners for review and comments to the BOCC <br /> prior to certification. <br /> 2. Definition —The annual percentage growth rate calculated from the projections resulting <br /> from the average of the five models represented by 10 year numerical membership <br /> projections by school level for each school district. This does not represent the year-by- <br /> year growth rate that may be positive or negative but rather the average of the annual <br /> growth rates over ten(10)years. <br /> 3. Standard for: Standard for: <br /> Chapel Hill Carrboro School District Orange County School District <br /> See Attachment II.D.2 See Attachment II.D.2 <br /> 4. Analysis of Existing Conditions Analysis of Existing Conditions <br /> The membership figures and percentage The membership figures and percentage <br /> growth on the attachments show continued growth on the attachments show continued <br /> growth at each school level within the growth at each school level within the <br /> system. system. <br /> Average Annual Growth Rate over ten years: Average Annual Growth Rate over ten years: <br /> Year Projection Year Projection <br /> Made: 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 Made: 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-112011-12 <br /> Elementary 1.85% 1.5% 1.72% 1.44% 1.59% Elementary 1.84% 1.16% 1.34% 1.57% 1.6% <br /> Middle 2.58% 2.03% 1.93% 1.67% 1.94% Middle 1.78% 1.44% 1.53% 1.84% 2.01% <br /> High 2.31% 2.21% 1.8% 1.57% 1.73% High 1.49% 1.0% 1.38% 1.59% 1.61% <br /> 5. Recommendation Recommendation <br /> Use statistics as noted. Use statistics as noted <br /> 37 <br />