Agenda - 03-13-2012 - 8e - Laserfiche WebLink

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Section II High School The previous year (2010-11) projections for November 2011 for this level were underestimated by 20 students. The actual membership increased by 61. Over the previous ten years, growth was relatively constant. However, there was a decrease in enrollment in 2009-10 and only modest increase of +5 students last year. Membership increased by +61 this school year. Even though historic growth at the high school level is moderate and recognizable, future projections are more moderate because of the fluctuations at the elementary and middle school levels. The need for an additional High School is not anticipated in the 10-year projection period. However, Orange County Schools has requested the N.C. Department of Public Instruction (DPI) re- examine the capacity rating of Orange High School. This assessment could result in a significant decrease in capacity at the high school level. Any capacity modifications approved by DPI prior to the November 15, 2012 reporting date would become effective with the approval of the 2012- 13 membership and capacity numbers. Additional Information for Orange County School District The City of Mebane lies partially within Orange County and students within the Orange County portion of Mebane attend Orange County schools. However, the City of Mebane is not a party to the SAPFO agreement and therefore does not issue CAPS (Certificate of Adequate Public Schools). In previous years, development activity and platting of new subdivisions increased within the Orange County portion of Mebane. However, changing economic conditions may curb this activity. Increased coordination with the City of Mebane regarding development issues may be necessary in the future. OCS currently has capacity to serve additional growth, but it is possible that rampant development in the Orange County portion of Mebane could quickly encumber available capacity. 5. Recommendation - Use statistics as noted in 3 above 32