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Section II <br />Chapel Hill Carrboro School District <br />Elementary <br />The previous year (2010-11) projections for November 2011 at this level were underestimated by <br />66 students. The actual change was an increase of 168 students. Over the previous ten years, <br />this level has shown varying increases in growth. From 2001 until 2003, growth steadily <br />increased; however, in 2004, the increase suddenly fell to an increase of only 3 additional <br />students. In years 2005-06 through 2008-09 student membership increased by over 100 students <br />per year. In 2009-10 there was a drop in membership, most likely due to the shorter enrollment <br />period caused by the institution of the new date rising kindergarteners must be five years old. <br />Following that dip, membership numbers are again increasing, with a significant jump (168 <br />students) this year. The projections show the need for Elementary School #11 in 2012-13, versus <br />2013-14 as projected last year. A site has been acquired for Elementary School #11 and work <br />on-site has commenced. The school is scheduled to open in the fall of 2013. However, if the <br />2012 membership numbers (to be reported November 15, 2012) and/or CAPS issued /requested <br />meet or exceed the Elementary level capacity, the issuance of further CAPS may be impacted <br />until Elementary School #11 is opened and additional Elementary level capacity is added. <br />Although not included in SAPFO school capacity or membership numbers, Pre-K programs <br />continue to impact operations at District elementary schools where Pre-K programs exist. <br />Middle <br />The previous year (2010-11) projections for November 2011 for this level were underestimated <br />by 4 students. The actual membership increased by 31. Over the previous ten years, growth <br />decreased precipitously from 214 to 68 to 4, to -52 and then has seen modest increases of +12, <br />+20, +30, +75, + 1 l, +14 and +31 since 2004. The projections show a need for Middle School <br />#5 in 2017-18, which is one year earlier than projected last year. <br />High School <br />The previous year (2010-11) projections for November 2011 for this level were underestimated <br />by 27 students. The actual membership increased by 74 students. Over the previous ten years, <br />change has varied from a high of 199 students to the 2009-10 school year loss of 24 students. <br />Membership has increased the past two years with +34 in 2010-11 and+74 this year. This year's <br />30 <br />