Orange County NC Website
KEY POINTS: <br />1. Ridership numbers indicate that the Gateway station serves as an important boarding station <br />for Orange County residents destined for Duke University and other Durham locations, while <br />the Leigh Village station serves as an important boarding station for trips destined to UNC- <br />Chapel Hill. <br />2. All of these segments (and likely many others) clearly benefit both counties, with the mutual <br />benefit most pronounced on the Leigh Village - Hillmont segment, where 46% of trip ends <br />are associated with Orange County locations, 43% are associated with Durham County <br />locations and 11% are associated with Chatham and Wake County locations. <br />IMPORTANT CAVEATS: <br />1. Ridership is for the Year 2035 and comes from the Regional Transportation Model version being <br />used by Triangle Transit for the alternatives analysis process, known as Version 4e2. It is a <br />modified version of the model used to develop the 2035 Long Range Transportation Plan, and <br />differs from version 5 which will be used for the 2040 Long Range Transportation Plan. All <br />modeling results, especially those for small segments of the transportation system, should be <br />viewed as approximations. <br />2. The land use analysis of the on-going NC 54 Study suggests that more development can occur in <br />the area examined in this analysis than is in Version 4e2 of the model. If so, it might influence the <br />distribution of trip ends. <br />3. Significant future changes to parking costs and constraints at UNC-Chapel Hill compared to those <br />assumed in the transportation model could affect ridership forecasts. More constrained parking <br />at Duke University could also influence mode choices for residents in the study area who travel to <br />Duke. <br />4. In considering benefits (including ridership) and the other components of transit investments: <br />bus-hours of service, revenues and costs, metrics can be viewed in several ways, including in <br />aggregate or on aper-capita basis. Currently, Durham County has almost exactly double the <br />population of Orange County (267,587 vs. 133,801 according to the 2010 Census). According to <br />the state demographer, by 2030 Orange County is projected to have 42% of the population of <br />Durham County. <br />Page 15 <br />