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Section II <br />Middle <br />The previous year (2009-10) projections for November 2010 for this level were overestimated <br />by 13 students. The actual membership increased by 33. Over the previous nine years, growth <br />has varied widely and included an unexpected decrease of 78 students in 2004-OS with smaller <br />decreases each year unti12007-08 and then increasing this year and last. However, certain <br />models did reflect the negative growth (-185) at the elementary school level in 2001-2002 as <br />they progress into the middle school cohorts. The district's third Middle School, Gravelly Hill <br />Middle School, opened in October 2006. The need for an additional Middle School is not <br />anticipated in the 10-year projection period. However, staff is closely monitoring new sizeable <br />residential projects in the Orange County portion of Mebane and Hillsborough. <br />High School <br />The previous year (2009-10) projections for November 2010 for this level overestimated by 14 <br />students. The actual membership increased by 5. Over the previous nine years, growth was <br />relatively constant. However, there was a decreased in enrollment in 2009-10 and only modest <br />increase this school year. Even though 4-year historic growth at the high school level is <br />moderate and recognizable, future projections are more moderate because of the slowing of <br />growth at the elementary and middle school levels. The need for an additional High School is <br />not anticipated in the 10-year projection period. However, staff is closely monitoring new <br />sizeable residential projects in the Orange County portion of Mebane and Hillsborough. <br />Additional Information for Orange County School District <br />The City of Mebane lies partially within Orange County and students within the Orange County <br />portion of Mebane attend Orange County schools. However, the City of Mebane is not a party to <br />the SAPFO agreement and therefore does not issue CAPS (Certificate of Adequate Public <br />Schools). In previous years, development activity and platting of new subdivisions increased <br />within the Orange County portion of Mebane. However, changing economic conditions may <br />curb this activity. <br />Increased coordination with the City of Mebane regarding development issues may be necessary <br />in the future. OCS currently has capacity to serve additional growth, but it is possible that <br />32 <br />