Orange County NC Website
Attachment II.B.2 <br />(page 2 of 4) <br />Section II <br />Orange County School District <br />School Membership 2009-2010 School Year (November 13, 2009) <br />Statistical Findings <br />PROJECTION TYPE ABBREVIATIONS <br />`TISCHLER' LINEAR (T) 10-YEAR COHORT (10C) <br />5-YEAR COHORT (5C) <br />ORANGE COUNTY PLANNING (OCP) 3-YEAR COHORT 3C <br />Elementary School Level <br />• Projections were mixed low and high, ranging from 15 students low to 23 students high. <br />However, the average of the projections were equal to the actual student membership. <br />• The membership actually increased by 46 students between November 14, 2008 and <br />November 13, 2009. <br />Middle School Level <br />• Projections were primarily low, ranging from 57 students low to 5 students high. On <br />average, the projections were 37 students lower than the actual membership. <br />• The membership actually increased by 64 students between November 14, 2008 and <br />November 13, 2009. <br />High School Level <br />• Projections were mixed (low and high) ranging from being low by 58 students to being <br />high by 55 students. One average, the projections were 7 students lower than the actual <br />membership. <br />• The membership actually decreased by 25 students between November 14, 2008 and <br />November 13, 2009. <br />TOTAL <br />• The total of all school level projections were primarily low, ranging from 110 below actual <br />membership to 56 above actual membership. On average, the projections were low by <br />43 students. <br />• The membership increased in total by 85 students, which is the sum of +46 at <br />Elementary, + 64 at Middle and (25) at High. <br />22 <br />