|
CHCCS Student Projections (No reduction in class size for grades K thru 2) (1)
<br />Elementary
<br />School Year
<br />2000 -01 12001
<br />-02
<br />2002 -03
<br />2403 -04
<br />2004 -05 2005 -06
<br />2008 -07
<br />2007 -08
<br />2008 -09
<br />2009.10
<br />2010 -11
<br />2011 -12
<br />2012 -13
<br />2073 -14
<br />Actual
<br />4 444
<br />4 474
<br />4 651
<br />4 892
<br />3 728
<br />3 867
<br />3,989
<br />4,121
<br />4.2531
<br />4.385
<br />Tlschler
<br />4849
<br />4,780
<br />Tiec ter
<br />2819
<br />2 922 3 026
<br />3129
<br />5 084 6.2491
<br />6 435
<br />6.621
<br />5.607
<br />5.993
<br />8178
<br />8384
<br />6 650
<br />6,736
<br />OC planning
<br />46
<br />2 770
<br />2 835 2,895
<br />2,951
<br />4905 5.01121
<br />6.213
<br />6.359
<br />5.499
<br />6.600
<br />6 778
<br />b 827
<br />6 911
<br />6 993
<br />10 Year Growth
<br />4,219
<br />2 598
<br />2 611 2,729
<br />2,818
<br />4 8T8 5.0361
<br />6.157
<br />5,310
<br />5.3T2
<br />6.420
<br />6 480
<br />6 635
<br />6 690
<br />6 846
<br />5 Year Growth
<br />548
<br />2 602
<br />626 2,746
<br />2,830
<br />4 899 6 086
<br />5,235
<br />5 411
<br />5,483
<br />6.638
<br />6693
<br />6 849
<br />5 706
<br />5 762
<br />3 Year Growth
<br />119.8%
<br />2,585
<br />2,574 2.666
<br />2,689
<br />4606 4.916
<br />5.008
<br />5,127
<br />5160
<br />5.217
<br />B 89
<br />6322
<br />5.376
<br />5,429
<br />0.ri t'lY7 JM'yr #a;E$'
<br />4w "Willy :.
<br />2 "$75
<br />7.a'3 11-02; $1 ^.',1r5Iv2`$ K ?G':3'
<br />4941:,. Q, 0
<br />4
<br />,
<br />Bit q:
<br />)7 rC
<br />;F. 7F..
<br />5 .- 6
<br />6 ..
<br />aiqualgc, -rnye ... w+at o r 9) in +xe . I `Arrejac�trd"a
<br />�
<br />rt 1?r
<br />a
<br />yy,,
<br />V ky +r ' R,
<br />'.. {a I If�`•`"a^. ��a ,. a
<br />rat
<br />:c
<br />l
<br />:7`
<br />` -,'�; %`12167. (jq,%1 0'
<br />a I d
<br />t
<br />..b 6
<br />4 I (1...
<br />r 9'�
<br />m
<br />,..rfi.� �{
<br />.. .92 ,
<br />y t
<br />f, . 3
<br />Ca cl -100% Level of Service LOS
<br />4,302
<br />4,302
<br />4,302
<br />4.921
<br />4,921 4,921
<br />5,521
<br />5.521
<br />5.521
<br />5,521
<br />5,521
<br />5,521
<br />5,521
<br />5,521
<br />Number of Students Actual and Projected, Over nder 100% LOS
<br />142
<br />172
<br />249
<br />229
<br />17
<br />149
<br />311
<br />155
<br />58
<br />35
<br />127
<br />218
<br />305
<br />392
<br />Capacity -105% Level of Service LOS
<br />4,517
<br />4,51T
<br />4,51T
<br />S 187
<br />8167
<br />5. 67
<br />5,797
<br />5,79T
<br />5 79T
<br />5,797
<br />5,T97
<br />5,T97
<br />5,79T
<br />S T97
<br />Number Of Students Actual and Projected, Over Under 105% LOS
<br />73
<br />43
<br />34
<br />475
<br />257
<br />97
<br />587
<br />431
<br />332
<br />241
<br />149
<br />58
<br />29
<br />1711
<br />Actual - % Level of Service
<br />103.3%
<br />104.0%
<br />105.6%
<br />Avers e - % Level of Service
<br />W t.... , ! s zy =;y , a ,:.: ^„ :.9,, x , . r "� a , .�. r!rg9120%
<br />..
<br />n.e -' "278_;
<br />anrw,0::6% ,?'," 2:40Yr
<br />�' >7, %'u- +r..£57 -7:'
<br />?^, t .60 �'i``.'�44,0511i �4 ?'�-8 33% •r;,� 384 -r ;r
<br />1.79
<br />. 5.
<br />Avers - % Level of Service
<br />95.3%
<br />99.8%
<br />103.0%
<br />94.4%
<br />9T.2%
<br />99.0%
<br />100.6%
<br />102.3%
<br />104.0%
<br />106.6%
<br />107.1%
<br />nW : u e r1rU a .gqs fiV n r rn -r:F
<br />a m ? i, 388
<br />r ,rrs s72..
<br />to- r3:7 ..
<br />„4: 5%
<br />m w^ 5
<br />' t : 5
<br />k %�ss2i99
<br />uro,r 1 8%
<br />;,.., 187...
<br />^r1 °
<br />3%
<br />,. wp
<br />CHCCS Student Projections (No reduction in class size for grades K thru 2) (1)
<br />Middle
<br />School Year
<br />2000 -01 2001 -02
<br />2002 -03 11
<br />2003 -04
<br />2004 -05
<br />2005 -08 .2008 -0T
<br />007 -08 2006 -09
<br />2009.10 2010 -11
<br />2071 -12
<br />2012 -13
<br />2013 -14
<br />Actual
<br />2 328
<br />2 540
<br />2806
<br />2 812
<br />2983 3182
<br />3330
<br />3 684
<br />3 728
<br />3 867
<br />3,989
<br />4,121
<br />4.2531
<br />4.385
<br />Tlschler
<br />4849
<br />4,780
<br />OC Planning
<br />10 Year Growth
<br />2819
<br />2 922 3 026
<br />3129
<br />3 233
<br />3 336
<br />3.439
<br />3.643
<br />3.640
<br />3.7501
<br />OC Planning
<br />$96
<br />182
<br />98
<br />46
<br />2 770
<br />2 835 2,895
<br />2,951
<br />3,003
<br />3.076
<br />3.147
<br />3.220
<br />3.294
<br />3.368
<br />10 Year Growth
<br />3,339
<br />3,339
<br />4 I9
<br />4,219
<br />2 598
<br />2 611 2,729
<br />2,818
<br />2,987
<br />3,129
<br />3,299
<br />3,352
<br />3,36e
<br />3,420
<br />b Year Growth
<br />tell
<br />159
<br />292
<br />548
<br />2 602
<br />626 2,746
<br />2,830
<br />2,979
<br />3,090
<br />3 236
<br />3 277
<br />3 310
<br />3343
<br />3 Year Gr(rMh
<br />97.8% '104.2%J
<br />109.7%
<br />115.2%
<br />119.8%
<br />2,585
<br />2,574 2.666
<br />2,689
<br />2.799
<br />2.871
<br />2,976
<br />2 992
<br />3 022
<br />3 052
<br />AVa • ;e;.:y 1 , t Nhwoy r! 4 . ":rPf i,r n r I ;•n r fr.:
<br />2 "$75
<br />7.a'3 11-02; $1 ^.',1r5Iv2`$ K ?G':3'
<br />S
<br />,
<br />33tt�� S,
<br />h Chan a i n Nraa' ; $OYBfi I 1 rP Ototl t1w! �<r
<br />g t rf ! .. t
<br />*�'F k d n'
<br />�J ..
<br />. s
<br />f
<br />' +&
<br />.f "•wt� ,. k Y PY a n c ar �';< ,,.:
<br />ryry
<br />2 r sMr.sa,�
<br />Mahibiffr 1' r it Sd? r . ,= y ' d $. tt9r 4�e1 9f
<br />rt 1?r
<br />a
<br />b�
<br />15,
<br />r
<br />l
<br />:7`
<br />Y.A1
<br />;I:.
<br />u,
<br />Ca cl - 100 %Level of Servlca .
<br />2,106
<br />2,849
<br />2,840
<br />2,840
<br />2,540
<br />Z840 2 840
<br />2 640
<br />2,840
<br />2.840
<br />2.840
<br />2.840
<br />2.840
<br />2.040
<br />Number Of Students Actualond Projected, Over Under 100% LOS
<br />218
<br />300
<br />232
<br />228
<br />185
<br />127 30..
<br />43
<br />160
<br />280 1
<br />379
<br />437 1
<br />492
<br />547
<br />107 %Laval of Service
<br />2,250
<br />3_039
<br />3,039
<br />3,039
<br />3,039
<br />3,039 3 039
<br />3 039
<br />3,039
<br />3.039
<br />3.039
<br />3 039
<br />3.0 9
<br />3 039
<br />Number of Students Actual and Pro acted Over Under 10T% LOS
<br />1 70
<br />498
<br />431
<br />427
<br />364
<br />325 228
<br />155
<br />39
<br />81
<br />180
<br />236
<br />293
<br />348
<br />Actual - % Level of Service
<br />110.3%
<br />89.4%
<br />91.8%
<br />92.0%
<br />94.2%
<br />96,6% 1 99.0%1
<br />101.5%
<br />105.6%
<br />109.2%
<br />113.4%
<br />115.4%
<br />117.3%
<br />119.2%
<br />Avers e - % Level of Service
<br />W t.... , ! s zy =;y , a ,:.: ^„ :.9,, x , . r "� a , .�. r!rg9120%
<br />..
<br />n.e -' "278_;
<br />anrw,0::6% ,?'," 2:40Yr
<br />�' >7, %'u- +r..£57 -7:'
<br />?^, t .60 �'i``.'�44,0511i �4 ?'�-8 33% •r;,� 384 -r ;r
<br />1.79
<br />. 5.
<br />CHCCS Student Projections (No reduction in class size for grades K thru 2)
<br />High
<br />School Year
<br />2000 -01
<br />200.1 -02 2002 -03
<br />2003 -04
<br />2004 -05
<br />2005-08
<br />2006 -07 2007 -08
<br />2006 -09
<br />2009 -10
<br />2010.11 2011.12
<br />2012 -13
<br />2013 -14
<br />Actual
<br />Tfsdhler h
<br />2 810
<br />2983 3182
<br />3330
<br />3 684
<br />3 728
<br />3 867
<br />3,989
<br />4,121
<br />4.2531
<br />4.385
<br />4.517
<br />4849
<br />4,780
<br />OC Planning
<br />10 Year Growth
<br />! ,,i , _ tk�r:;aE4 a . ; +.e.i�. 1' �$, � r , {, F,'�; {l1>i'�
<br />3,035 3,035 3,935
<br />3 274 3 352 3 426
<br />3 515 3 B47 3 645
<br />3 641 3 704 3 717
<br />3,562 3 724 3.718
<br />31!tPR
<br />Y73
<br />i�
<br />: t' ., h?i6, B- k .£ . d °$ 'Sf s `g3p4e x; \1�9$*7Z,n:,�, :r ; lY r S i,r a ' , ., Y 4 . w J'
<br />3 035 3,035 3,035 3,836
<br />3,494 3,567 3.6101 3,674 3 731 3 016 3 SW
<br />3,690 3,730 3.8291 3.936 4,145 4 326 4 466
<br />3,762 3,796 3.886 3.999 4,235 4 453 4,621
<br />3,752 3.747 3,780 3.843 3.989 4 103
<br />:4. I 1
<br />3dhr"11 99 03
<br />N z' .
<br />+ i:37. tl, .: .�rs�3'7:9 � P ,
<br />r,Y, 24r I''42 u
<br />3,835. 3,835 3,835 3,835 3,835 3,835 3,935
<br />6 Year Growfh
<br />3 Year Growth
<br />tH, , : L $ ;i§ w -,irj, r
<br />;t:;. _
<br />{ ?.4P. ;
<br />* ,
<br />,tl,w.a.., ;
<br />,., ",p w 'ri
<br />}".�iF .
<br />1 P! n 14 �g h .sac ® 46
<br />. x ; Y !, � .
<br />N.lVia �h ifib �s. l *x ah t ytx'r ? , ',i' { � ir.r ,. X. 1 1. ,,, ( E'✓, . + , §, : r Itt`qr„� ., s "r : '. . r* '1 . ,r'r
<br />�w
<br />Capacity -100% Level of Service
<br />Number of Students Actual and P acted Over Under 100% LOS
<br />220
<br />T2 127
<br />295
<br />462
<br />$96
<br />182
<br />98
<br />46
<br />38
<br />132
<br />288
<br />434
<br />555
<br />110% Level of Service
<br />3,339
<br />3,339 3,339
<br />3 339
<br />3,339
<br />3,339
<br />4 I9
<br />4,219
<br />4.2191
<br />4.2191
<br />4,219
<br />4,219
<br />4,219
<br />4,219
<br />Number of Students Actual and Pro
<br />led Over (Under) 110% LOS
<br />524
<br />378 177 )
<br />tell
<br />159
<br />292
<br />548
<br />481
<br />428
<br />346
<br />251
<br />95
<br />51
<br />171
<br />Actual - % Level of Service
<br />Avers e - % Level of Service
<br />1 92.8%1
<br />97.8% '104.2%J
<br />109.7%
<br />115.2%
<br />119.8%
<br />M,8%
<br />97.5%
<br />9 S%1
<br />101.0%
<br />1M034%1
<br />107.5%1
<br />111.3%1
<br />114.6%
<br />....... d ... .. r trrv.�,/t"d7`•'r.•;�r+•v, rr Irr4., azn ar x.'ta w� f?T ?
<br />TTIPM
<br />WitnW..'
<br />Indicates nrst year that district surpasses Schools APFO recommended Level of Service
<br />uh It is Important to note that this reflects the November 14, 2003 dale of membership as outlined In by the Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance. It does not Include CHCCS students attending the Hospital
<br />ur The Tiechler Model provides for the "Linear Method" of projections for both CHCCS and OCS. Original projections used in prior years projection models Included the "Linear Extrapolation Method" for CHCCS.
<br />tah Annual growth rate calculated using actual membership for years 2000 -01 through 2003-04 and average membership for years 2003-04 through 2013.14.
<br />O
<br />CD
<br />ki
<br />n
<br />
|