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UU5 Student Projections (No reduction in class size for grades K thru 2) 1''
<br />Elementary
<br />Scholl Year
<br />Actual
<br />2000 -01
<br />2001 -0Z
<br />2002 -0J
<br />2003 -04
<br />2004 -05
<br />1 2005 -06
<br />2008 -07
<br />1 2007 -06 2008 -09
<br />1 2009 -10
<br />2010 -11
<br />2011.12 HP
<br />2012.13
<br />2013.14
<br />1 871
<br />3 076
<br />2 893
<br />2 901
<br />2946
<br />Taschler
<br />OC Planning1956
<br />Taschler r
<br />2,000 2 038
<br />2,075
<br />1 2.113 2,151
<br />Taschler
<br />1 771
<br />1 804
<br />1 838
<br />1 871
<br />3,063
<br />1 3.121
<br />3180
<br />1 3.239 3,298
<br />1 3.356
<br />3 415
<br />3,4T4
<br />3,533
<br />3,591
<br />OC Plannina
<br />10 Year Growth
<br />1 736
<br />1 784
<br />1 833
<br />1 870
<br />3.007
<br />3.064
<br />3 122
<br />3.181 3.257
<br />1 3,335
<br />3 415
<br />3,614
<br />3,615
<br />3,719
<br />5 Year Growth
<br />1 614 1 630
<br />1
<br />6 Year Growth
<br />2 010 1 916
<br />2 981
<br />2 963
<br />3 035
<br />3.088 3.148
<br />1 3,180
<br />3 211
<br />3,243
<br />3,276
<br />3,309
<br />3 Year Growth
<br />1
<br />3 Year Growth
<br />2.067
<br />2.051
<br />2 974
<br />2 960
<br />3 018
<br />3,001 3.116
<br />1 3.147
<br />3,1178
<br />3210
<br />3,242
<br />3,276
<br />1ie19 a a? V, I i t, 6 1_l lstm} r ar t "M,e r F +a} r+ + v lanmpuR�r npn
<br />1
<br />150
<br />AnMral Chanpe Fn fase (De" crease tl Ab9tal & 9J etedw���uu�� 1 +f , r: rs W yy a ' , q 4
<br />V
<br />{ •. t
<br />... . [ r � :,, i.
<br />2 980
<br />2 955
<br />3 018
<br />3.060 3.107
<br />1 3,138
<br />3169
<br />3.201
<br />3,233
<br />3.265
<br />,...
<br />AnhWlGliapp6� .lndreasa,(t)9chase InAcltial +P ected't +'.'
<br />I +* + #,. j4uu ,?>til.K+d
<br />nirkjl..
<br />i" .3 00V, v3'11117 "; a'07 Fy .s.'J''. 28' r ¢ 185'. + t a- a ? a 278 ?•;`ri 1J a26 : ^' 3 3801 'r'I '452'
<br />,,4 T r� r,
<br />} ?j y
<br />t 7 :�: „'. i) e'•ur. rsi +' :a P D -SiVy: t{ .L 'fv. fr ? 4.. 4 %1 3'9., ,r�
<br />�Ia:• 4 4x,:, 3
<br />beYS i �,t',..� yr o."{j?k1r , +rfi�i21 1 ?�;;
<br />h? "4: $fit
<br />LL +
<br />2,510
<br />Ca c -100X Level Of 3 Ice
<br />1.465
<br />pt
<br />�. '10,
<br />!..1 a
<br />s 4GM.: i4 .#.
<br />?'1$:rc,
<br />48
<br />"4 us1
<br />a i ri lay"
<br />y. wt 81 a
<br />n.
<br />,11r s
<br />Ca act - 100% Level of Service
<br />3 820
<br />3 820
<br />a 820
<br />3 920
<br />3 920
<br />3.920.
<br />3 920
<br />3,920 3,920
<br />3 920
<br />3 920
<br />3-929
<br />3,920
<br />3,920
<br />Number of Students Actual and Projected, Over Under 100% LOS
<br />42
<br />927
<br />919
<br />975
<br />919
<br />909
<br />848
<br />94 735
<br />889
<br />642
<br />2,316
<br />2,318
<br />2,310
<br />105% Level of Service
<br />4,011
<br />4,011
<br />4,011
<br />4,1101
<br />4,116
<br />4,116
<br />4116
<br />4116 4,116
<br />4,116
<br />4,116
<br />592
<br />4,116
<br />540
<br />4118
<br />488
<br />4,116
<br />Number of Students, Actual and Projected. Over (Under) 105% LOS
<br />933
<br />11.1181
<br />1 110
<br />0,11 1
<br />1,115
<br />1,105
<br />(1
<br />990 (931 )1
<br />(885
<br />838
<br />084
<br />638
<br />605
<br />Actual - % Level of Service
<br />00.8%
<br />75.7%
<br />75.9%
<br />76.1 %
<br />104.2% 111.31e
<br />114.0%
<br />.042),
<br />Avers e - % Level of Service
<br />llIlllllM83,6%
<br />88
<br />38
<br />884
<br />Anna e - % Level Service
<br />81.3%
<br />81.9%1
<br />Avere e - % Level of Service
<br />63 0%
<br />76.6%
<br />70.8%
<br />78.4%
<br />79.7% 81.3%
<br />82.4%
<br />76.5%
<br />84 9%
<br />86.2%
<br />87.5%
<br />nua u r _ a :r, at 1 %:
<br />o
<br />:'Y810 % +v" °028%
<br />c,; °"11S2Yo
<br />1,90%
<br />, 70[37%
<br />' ^2:11%
<br />1:66.
<br />":' ' 1:90%
<br />pp. a,
<br />.1.44 %'',;,;
<br />1.55%
<br />r1: 1 O '':',!::1ai4
<br />OCS Student Projections (No reduction in class size for grades K thru 2) (1�
<br />Middle
<br />School Year
<br />Actual
<br />2000 -01
<br />1 2001 -02 1 2002 -03 1
<br />2003 04 2004 -05
<br />2005 -06
<br />2008 -07
<br />2007 -08
<br />2005 -09
<br />2009 -10
<br />201041 2011-12 201243
<br />201!34
<br />1 672 1 763
<br />1604
<br />1 627 1,831
<br />1 871
<br />Taschler
<br />OC Planning1956
<br />Taschler r
<br />2,000 2 038
<br />2,075
<br />1 2.113 2,151
<br />1 738
<br />1 771
<br />1 804
<br />1 838
<br />1 871
<br />7 904
<br />1 938
<br />1971 2 004
<br />2
<br />OC Plannin
<br />10 Year Growth
<br />2 297
<br />2,345
<br />2,394
<br />2,444
<br />1 736
<br />1 784
<br />1 833
<br />1 870
<br />7 907
<br />1 945
<br />1984 2 024
<br />2
<br />1 569
<br />1 536
<br />1 534
<br />1 472
<br />7 530
<br />1 569
<br />1 614 1 630
<br />1
<br />6 Year Growth
<br />2 010 1 916
<br />1902
<br />1,896
<br />1,883
<br />1 565
<br />1 524
<br />1 624
<br />1 460
<br />1 512
<br />1 642
<br />1 682 - 1 698
<br />1
<br />3 Year Growth
<br />2.067
<br />2.051
<br />2,102
<br />IJ 1 N' nn`
<br />e 6 r�q v, I, Sir, , twin ,, M,ry'p
<br />7 672
<br />x'1643'
<br />7 541
<br />t5J8C
<br />1 557
<br />1658'•'
<br />7 494
<br />1633f:'t+
<br />1 543
<br />1 570
<br />.1713'' "....17,51
<br />1 603 1 619
<br />'.1'775
<br />1
<br />150
<br />AnMral Chanpe Fn fase (De" crease tl Ab9tal & 9J etedw���uu�� 1 +f , r: rs W yy a ' , q 4
<br />V
<br />{ •. t
<br />... . [ r � :,, i.
<br />e�r v i + t.iY f r ♦r. .� ty��.F.€ M .:4 # I
<br />RI P Cj{ #. 3S
<br />0 „
<br />W2
<br />Capacity •100 %Level of Service
<br />1,510 1,518
<br />2518. 2518
<br />2,518
<br />:
<br />r
<br />2,518 2,518
<br />3b7Y "
<br />138
<br />2,510
<br />Ca c -100X Level Of 3 Ice
<br />1.465
<br />1.465 1,466
<br />1 68
<br />1,455
<br />1466
<br />2166
<br />.
<br />2168
<br />.
<br />2168
<br />2,166
<br />2,166
<br />2,166 2,160
<br />2,166
<br />Number of Students Actual and ProlecIed, Over (Under) 100% LOS
<br />38
<br />61 165
<br />205
<br />161
<br />1T7
<br />528
<br />510
<br />533
<br />487
<br />453
<br />415
<br />391
<br />110% Level of Service
<br />10T% Level of Service
<br />1,509
<br />1,509 1,569
<br />1,569
<br />1,569
<br />1,569
<br />2,318
<br />2,318
<br />2,316
<br />2,318
<br />2,310
<br />2,316
<br />2.316.
<br />388
<br />2.310
<br />Number Of Students, Actual and Projected, Over Under 110% LOS
<br />2 83
<br />942 883
<br />745
<br />08 701
<br />Number of Students Actual and Projected. Over nder 107% LOS
<br />65
<br />42 62
<br />102
<br />1 59
<br />1 74
<br />880
<br />862
<br />084
<br />638
<br />605
<br />567
<br />543
<br />518)
<br />Actual - % Level of Service
<br />102.8%
<br />104.2% 111.31e
<br />114.0%
<br />632
<br />Avers e - % Level of Service
<br />80.4%
<br />81.9% 82.1%
<br />82.2%
<br />82.7g%
<br />81.3%
<br />81.9%1
<br />Avere e - % Level of Service
<br />63 0%
<br />84.9%
<br />_._ r.e-TR A:if:. q iwys tK! : n
<br />111.0%1
<br />112.0%1___
<br />76.6%1
<br />76.5%
<br />75.4%1
<br />77.6%
<br />79.1%1
<br />80.8%
<br />81 9%
<br />1 83.1%
<br />nua u e , • . roux ,.R: . k, I u # .v „,:•> r x
<br />" 1:58% 8181
<br />„ ^'
<br />.50 .
<br />ztoowle 12.22%
<br />It4o /.I
<br />OCS Student Projections (No reduction in class size for grades K thru 2)
<br />High
<br />School Year 1
<br />2000 -01 1 2001 -02
<br />1 2002 -03 12003 -04
<br />2004 -05
<br />2005 -06 2008 -07
<br />2007 -08
<br />2008 09 1200940
<br />201041 201142
<br />201243
<br />701344
<br />Actual
<br />1 672 1 763
<br />1 828 1 887
<br />Taschler
<br />OC Planning1956
<br />1 962
<br />2,000 2 038
<br />2,075
<br />1 2.113 2,151
<br />2,108
<br />2,220
<br />2,264
<br />2,301
<br />10 Year Growth
<br />2,008 2,003
<br />2,119
<br />2176 2,236
<br />2 297
<br />2,345
<br />2,394
<br />2,444
<br />6 Year Growth
<br />2 048
<br />2,040 1,997
<br />1,967
<br />1 968 1.867
<br />1 857
<br />1,056
<br />1,652
<br />1,909
<br />2 056
<br />2,082 2,057
<br />2,024
<br />2 010 1 916
<br />1902
<br />1,896
<br />1,883
<br />1,935
<br />3 Year Growth
<br />2 101
<br />2.181 2.187
<br />2.165
<br />2154 2.060
<br />2.062
<br />2.067
<br />2.051
<br />2,102
<br />IJ 1 N' nn`
<br />e 6 r�q v, I, Sir, , twin ,, M,ry'p
<br />4s 420211 r 2082= rt 2058 ' x2070
<br />2082 ?' 7047 „+ 20611 '" 207 X200
<br />C °2.13b:
<br />ArtpWl;l:Mhpe +hicrNS,010faPN e) HWI EP,.roeebtl '1 .:. fi, t::rx.ild�u•.tn.:ryvx,,F7�FPEryry,�',. a ;:..ez
<br />" ,.:.. F;I W+!' �F N: jag:� 1y". rY�♦},r i a�
<br />bliprl'4',�':M,.,I'J' 'j't/},,., ,.. ': ryr [ "):. K:!Y!. 'i:ll�k rr lla� ,♦... �. F. }. 'J' I^ K+
<br />hi
<br />a .� >� :.:.: ,r+ y,d.�- - +•,. • a ...:k. : ,. ,... :.� .. ,.,,.. _....
<br />irti 1 N Yi;y } '�1i4 .j( ♦Y7 �' N.. {. t1 :L Tt .1..1:: _•
<br />,F I�� ,:, .. 1 . F:. ..S,. 1 .f:: P"11r5 ,�'iVl�y
<br />1, SIRS12s. "i 314
<br />_ .: t
<br />A.
<br />, „38" !c? 6,asrcalrT
<br />1
<br />RI P Cj{ #. 3S
<br />0 „
<br />Capacity •100 %Level of Service
<br />1,510 1,518
<br />2518. 2518
<br />2,518
<br />2,518 2,518
<br />2518
<br />2,518 2,518
<br />2,518
<br />2,510
<br />2,518
<br />2,518
<br />Number of Students Actual and Projected, Over Under 100% LOS
<br />154 235
<br />890 831
<br />493
<br />438 450
<br />448
<br />438
<br />110% Level of Service
<br />1,070 1,670
<br />2,770 2 T70
<br />2,770
<br />2,770 2,770
<br />2770
<br />2,T70
<br />471
<br />2,770
<br />457
<br />2,770
<br />440
<br />2.T70
<br />429
<br />2 770
<br />380
<br />2,7T0
<br />Number Of Students, Actual and Projected, Over Under 110% LOS
<br />2 83
<br />942 883
<br />745
<br />08 701
<br />700
<br />685
<br />23
<br />700
<br />892
<br />881
<br />Actual - % Level of Service
<br />110.1%1 115.5%
<br />72.6% 74.9%
<br />632
<br />Avers e - % Level of Service
<br />80.4%
<br />81.9% 82.1%
<br />82.2%
<br />82.7g%
<br />81.3%
<br />81.9%1
<br />82 6%
<br />63 0%
<br />84.9%
<br />_._ r.e-TR A:if:. q iwys tK! : n
<br />.. 7 9% , '0305 5%.:...�1h
<br />85ti t ur1D18 ---F7 "•
<br />;J
<br />? 2s78y.
<br />Indicates first year that district surpasses Schools APFO recommended Level of Service
<br />aiIt is Important to note that this reflects the November 14, 2003 date of membership as outlined in by the Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance. It does not Include CHCCS students attending the Hospital
<br />The Taschler Model provides for the "Linear Method" of projections for both CHCCS and OCS. Original projections used in prior years projection models included the "Linear Extrapolation Method" for CHCCS.
<br />pI Annual growth rate calculated using actual membership for years 2000 01 through 2003-04 and average membership for years 2003-04 through 2013 -14.
<br />Na
<br />O n
<br />b
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