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Sec-60.77 11 <br />1, <br />Student Projection Nlethodology <br />P,esponsible-Ef I tityforSuggesifug Chia se4,-don is reviexed and rem =,t ended <br />0Y the PIxi-n-Ins Directors, School Rt:prescniatives. Teo- cal Advisory Gc+mmitte <br />yCalS tO (JC*kC;1131P11ff, total metumer-snip ai e cornomcu suuout. icvcL <br />v La <br />and Hi.h School) which take into historical membership to! Is ata spiac` <br />time- (Nover iber 15) in -die school yeWr- Tlhcs�-!-Iethods are also knoxvnas:'rn.od-t1.,-:'- <br />Stain fair far: <br />Chapel Hi: l Carrboro School District <br />Stwidardfor: <br />Orange County Schoot District <br />Prcscinhll the average or five, mod gis art bein g used: nameIV3. 5. and it) year <br />C� I . . <br />historylcohort survival methods, C,),-,rty PI anring DeParatnent Linear <br />Wa,v- e xid Tischler Linear methods Attach -Pnent TI.B. I describes includes a <br />description of each model. <br />Analy,sis of Exist ijig Conditions <br />Performance of the models, is monitored each year. The value of a projection model is in its <br />I -t^ Us so Lhe <br />pr-;�dkrion of'school level capacities at least th-rcc years in advance of capacity shot M <br />atu,i: i Capital Investment Plan (CIP) updates can respond proactively with siting, design, and <br />con-struntio.n. Attach ,111Qn..t11.B.2 shows the performanc-- ofFthe models for the 20,04-5 school <br />year ftc)m the prior year projection (i.e., only a one year projection), A-Rer which, a surrmrlarY Of <br />eacin mode,[ is provided. <br />Recomwendation - <br />No Change from above standard. <br />I,- <br />�21 <br />