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~_ ~ n <br />Section II <br />D. Student Growth Rate <br />1. Responsible Entity for Suggesting Change -The updating of this section will be <br />conducted by the Planning Directors, School Representatives, Technical Advisory <br />Committee (SAPFOTAC) each year and referred to the BOCC for annual report <br />certification. <br />Projections will be distributed to SAPFO partners for review and comments to the BOCC <br />prior to certification. <br />2. Definition -The annual percentage growth rate calculated from the projections resulting <br />from the average of the five models represented by 10 year numerical membership <br />projections by school level for each school district. This does not represent the year-by- <br />year growth rate that may be positive or negative but rather the average of the annual <br />growth rates over ten (10) years. <br />3. Standard for: Standard for: <br />Chapel Hill Carrboro School District Orange County School District <br />See Attachment II.D.2 See Attachment II.D.2 <br />4. Analysis of Existing Conditions Analysis of Existing Conditions <br />The membership figures and percentage The membership figures and percentage growth <br />growth on the attachments show continued on the attachments show continued growth at <br />growth at each school level within the each school level within the system. <br />system. <br />Average Annual Growth Rate over ten years: Average Annual Growth Rate over ten years: <br />Yeaz Projection <br />Made: <br />2005 <br />2006 <br />2007 <br />2008 <br />2009 Yeaz Projection <br />Made: <br />2005 <br />2006 <br />2007 <br />2008 <br />2009 <br />Elementaz 1.95% 2.03% 1.85% 1.5% 1.72% Elemen 1.6% 1.49% 1.84% 1.16% 1.34% <br />Middle 2.41% 2.35% 2.58% 2.03% 1.93% Middle 1.18% 1.42% 1.78% 1.44% 1.53% <br />Hi h 1.95% 2.04% 2.31% 2.21% 1.8% Hi h 0.92% 0.98% 1.49% l.o% 1.38% <br />Recommendation <br />Use statistics as noted. <br />Recommendation <br />Use statistics as noted <br />38 <br />