Agenda - 03-02-2010 - 4i - Laserfiche WebLink

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N O STUDENT MEMBERSHIP PROJECTIONS PROJECTION TYPE DESCRIPTION 1 CHARACTERISTICS ~ FORMULA ASSUMPTIONS Twchler Linear (OCS & CHCCS) Mathertadiad tomwla; straight line projection y=l(c~b)"x)tb y=projected popuhtion; r~historical annual change; b=base year; ~ projection years Historical growth is retbcted in projected growth BYM + (BYI+ t>f n)). EYM EYM' 96SL = EYM15L Bose year growth re0ecta 10 year average; OCP Linear Wave Mathematical linear with percent variation among ached BYM= base year 2nd nsorrth membership; BYlarear student membership inaement inaease in BYI of 5 every other year reAeas (OCS) levels; relMcta progresabrg ws~vos of mambersh~ bate; EYM=ensuing year men>bsrshiP; n=Projectlon year; %SL=9o of total increases U housing growth: reflects bugdout membership per adwd bust (Le. elementary. middle, hiph); EYMISLaensuing year constraints member by sdrool level BYM + (BYI ~ 1li(n)) = EYM EYM • °/.SL = EYMfSL Bass year growth reflects t0year average; OCP Linear Wave Mathematical Gnear with percent variation among school BYM= base year 2nd month membership; BYl~esr student membership inaement decrease in BYI of 15 until sdwd year 2070.2011 (CHCCS) levels; reflects progressing waves of membership base: EYM~srsing year membership; n=projectbn year, 9651=% of total membership perschool level (i.e, ebmentary, middle, hiph); EYMISL=ensufng year reflects dsrreaees in houaing growth; refbcls member by school level buiktout consfrairNs Mathematcal fomtula that computes the average net ~ . advanamerrt rate overthe previous 3 years for each a ~F ("a,r t g„ s} 13 Assumes a 1% annual grovNr rate forthe 3•Year Cohort (OCS & grade bust and then uses each rate to caNukte n~ kindergarten grade level: assumes the same CHCCS) Projected rrmnsbersirip by school level: an assumed b=g ~r {a) percentage of students in each grads level kkrdergarten membership is based on birth records K=kindergarten membership; n=given school year; G--given grades greduafe to tlrs rrord level each year arrdkr histories) growth rates membership(ofherthan kirMergerten): g=previous gradek membeshQ; n~veroge advancement rate; b=projected membership Mathemetlcai formula that oomputas the average n=t advancement rate over the previerrs 5 years fa each a ~E G„ 1 g,M) 15 Assumes a 1% annual growth rate forthe 5 year Cohort (OCS & grade bust and then uses each arts 1b eatedete n=<5 kindergarten grade level; ~sumes the same CHCCS) projected membershp by school bust; an assumed b=g Ms (a) percentage d students in each grade oval kindergarten membership a based on birth records K~cindergarten membership; n=given ached year; ,C`-given grade's graduate to the need level each year andlor hstorical growth rates membership(other than kindergarten); g=previous grades membership; a=avaroge advancement rate; b=projected membership Kn = k o-r + (k,,.r' 0.07 ) Mathematcal formula that computes the average n=7 advancement rats over the previous 10 years for each a ~f G„ I g~.r)110 Assumes a 196 annual growth rate for the 10 year Cohort (OCS 8 grade bust and then uses each rate to cabrrlate n=7p kkrdergarten grade bust: assumes the same CHCCS) projected membership by schod level; en assumed peg ~ (a) percentage of studords in each grader bvai kindergarten membership is based on birth records KGcirrdergartsn membership; n=given school year, G=given grade's graduate to the ne>d level each year andlor historial growth rotes membership(otherrhan kindergarten); 9= previous grades rrusmbaship; a=average sdvancemant rate; b-projected membership ~o o~ ti a r~ n i--~