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ORANGE COUNTY <br />BOARD OF COMMISSIONERS <br />ACTION AGENDA ITEM ABSTRACT <br />Meeting Date: October 6, 2009 <br />Action Agenda <br />Item No. (o '- G <br />SUBJECT: Schoals Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance (SAPFO) Effects on Chapel Hill- <br />Carrboro Elementary #11 <br />DEPARTMENT: Manager/Planning/Finance PUBLIC HEARING: (Y/N) No <br />ATTACHMENT(S): <br />1. Lisa Stuckey, Chair of Chapel Hill- <br />Carrboro Board of Education Letter <br />2. Elementary #11 Estimate <br />3. Orange County Development Summary <br />from Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of <br />Commerce <br />INFORMATION CONTACT: <br />Planning -Craig Benedict, 245-2592 <br />Finance -Gary Humphreys, 245-2453 <br />Manager -Frank Clifton, 245-2300 <br />PURPOSE: To explain the relationship between SAPFO and the timing of Chapel Hill- <br />Carrboro Elementary #11. <br />BACKGROUND: The SAPFO is a Capital Investment Plan (CIP) planning tool and a <br />development management system. The student projections within the SAPFO Technical <br />Advisory Committee (TAC) report identify new school capacity construction needs at a future <br />date. These projection models are based on historical conditions and can hypothetically <br />indicate when future increases in enrollment approach over capacity school level conditions. <br />Usually this foresight of 4-5 years permits adequate time to find an appropriate site, secure <br />financing, design and build the school. <br />However, each year new enrollment data are entered into the. projection models to refine the <br />student projection numbers and create a comparison tool to analyze whether a future school <br />project need is on target from previous CIP proposals or appears to be moving forward or back <br />in the CIP timeline. Case in point, the 2009 SAPFO report is based on November 2008 <br />enrollment. The report states for: <br />Cha el Hill-Carrboro Schools Elements Level <br /> 20 da * Projection from 08-09 <br /> 2008-09 2009-10 2009-10 2010-11 <br />Actual Enrollment 5302 5225** <br /> <br />Projection 5406** 5533 <br />Ca acit 100% 5244 5244 5244 5244 <br />Ca acit 105% 5506 5506 5506 5506 <br />Ca acit 204 281 101 -26 <br />Actual LOS 101.1 °l0 100.4% 103.1 105.5 <br />* Unofficial; SAPFO uses enrollment per November 15, 2009. <br />** Italics show 20th day 2009 actual versus November 2008 projection of November 15, 2009. <br />