Orange County NC Website
52 JOURNAL OF PUBLIC HEALTH MANACEtaw AND PRAcncE /MARCH 1997 <br />Impact <br />As outlined in- Healthy People 2000, large health <br />disparities exist for certain racial/ethnic groups; par- <br />ticularly at high risk are African Americans and <br />American Indians /Alaska Natives .32 In addition, re- <br />cent data suggest erosion of gains in life expectancy <br />from earlier birth cohorts (e.g., among African <br />American males) .33 Unless the factors largely respon- <br />sible for health disparities (i.e., infant deaths, cardio- <br />vascular disease, cancer, homicide) are addressed <br />more fully, we can expect a leveling or decline in the <br />health status of the overall population.94 Because of <br />the shift in proportions of racial /ethnic groups noted <br />earlier, new health issues are likely to be encoun- <br />tered. Many of the current epidemics affecting <br />younger age groups in minority populations are <br />likely to continue and will need particular attention. <br />These include human immunodeficiency virus /ac- <br />quired immune deficiency syndrome transmission, <br />substance abuse, violence, conditions resulting from <br />the lack of prenatal care, control of sexually trans- <br />mitted diseases, and teen pregnancy. It is important <br />to note that although race is commonly cited as a risk <br />factor for poor health status, the underlying factor is <br />largely poverty.31 <br />Trend <br />Changes in health care delivery systems. <br />Evidence <br />The United States spends more per capita on <br />health care than any other country in the world -14 <br />percent of our gross domestic product in 1994.29 Of <br />the total health care budget, only about 3 percent is <br />allocated to prevention.3° Primarily due to concern <br />about rising costs, the health care system is currently <br />Primarily due to concern about rising <br />costs, the healthcare system is <br />currently undergoing profound <br />changes that will influence public <br />health and health care greatly in the <br />coming decade. <br />undergoing profound changes that will influence <br />public health and health care greatly in the coming <br />decade. Managed care organizations, specifically <br />health maintenance organizations, have grown from <br />enrollments of 6 million people in 1976 to 50 million <br />in 1994.37 Within the next decade, 80 to 90 percent of <br />the insured 'population will receive its health care <br />through various forms of managed care.' <br />Impact <br />The traditional governmental role in public <br />health of providing clinical, preventive services is <br />changing and is likely to evolve further. As <br />underserved populations are increasingly moved <br />into managed care settings, fewer health depart- <br />ments will provide services directly to clients. <br />Changes within the Medicaid and Medicare pro- <br />grams also are likely to influence prevention oppor- <br />tunities among vulnerable populations (i.e., persons <br />of low income, the elderly, and the disabled). At the <br />present time, there is little assessment of the effects <br />of these changes in health care coverage for <br />underserved populations; it is thus unclear whether <br />recent changes will have overall positive or nega- <br />tive effects on the health of the public.3e <br />In order for managed care companies to enhance <br />the overall health of the public, they will have to be <br />responsible for the communities they serve, in much <br />the same way public health departments have been <br />in the past. Because these companies will be paid on <br />a capitated basis, it will be in their best interest to <br />minimize disease and injury risks.39 To do this effec- <br />tively, it seems likely they will play a larger role in <br />the kinds of assessment, advocacy, and assurance <br />activities traditionally the bailiwick of public health <br />workers .2U13 <br />It is unlikely that economic incentives alone will <br />be sufficient for consistent efforts in risk minimiza- <br />tion and increased service coverage when some pre- <br />ventive activities are long -term and effectiveness is <br />uncertain. Therefore, for private reform efforts to <br />succeed, public health must fully assume the as- <br />surance role by serving as a leader and catalyst in <br />providing those oversight functions that only gov- <br />ernment can perform.' Public health agencies can <br />provide a vital function in the managed care environ- <br />ment by providing external incentives —i.e., consis- <br />tent and timely feedback on health outcomes to pro- <br />viders of health care. <br />In conjunction with the changing health care sys- <br />tems, the demand for personnel in various medical <br />92 <br />• <br />• <br />