Orange County NC Website
January 22, 1999 <br />Page 2 of 2 <br />It is precisely this type of "smoke and mirrors"shenanigans that we decried during the briefings. The <br />logic seems proper at face value, but it does not take much effort to show that it is wrong. In Enclosure 1 <br />to the license amendment submittal, the licensee reported that the total storage capacity of pools `A' and <br />`B' is 3,669 assemblies and that the proposed activity will add 4,715 storage locations in pools `C' and <br />`D.' Thus, if the amendment is granted, CP&L will handle -pick up and move -about twice as many <br />irradiated fuel assemblies as they will if the amendment is not granted. <br />Consider for a moment the old game of Russian roulette using asix-chamber revolver loaded with a <br />single bullet. CP&L and the NRC staff would apparently conclude that the probability of losing the game <br />are not increased whether one or two turns are taken because, after all, the same method and the same <br />equipment are used each turn. Their logic is simply wrong. The probability of a fuel handling accident at <br />Harris will nearly double if the license amendment request is granted. This material fact contradicts the <br />conclusion of the licensee and the staff that there will be "no significant increase in the probability," <br />unless doubling the risk is not significant. <br />Luckily, there's an opportunity to fix the mistake this time. Unfortunately, it's not the first, and probably <br />won't be the last, time this mistake is made. The NRC staff made this same mistake in April 1998 when <br />it allowed the Paducah facility to continue operating with its risk doubled. <br />We have no intention at this time of formally intervening in this Harris licensing action. We trust that the <br />NRC staff will take the necessary steps to have the licensee fix the fundamental flaw in the licensing <br />amendment request before granting it. <br />Sincerely, <br />Q <br />ti ~~ ~ ~ ~~~ <br />David A. Loch aum <br />Nuclear Safety Engineer <br />