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the future but given continuation of <br />shortages of facilities, economics would <br />suggest that the cost of child care will <br />continue to rise. <br />The increased number of children living in <br />poverty between today and 2030, speaks to <br />the fact that children, particularly those in <br />single parent households will find <br />themselves in the same economic <br />predicament in the future as they do today. <br />Generally speaking, in the future, children <br />in poverty will find that the wage earner in <br />their home is often working in the lowest <br />paying economic sectors, retail or service. <br />The child's enrollment in childcare is being <br />subsidized by the public sector, as/if funds <br />are available. Because of their families' <br />financial predicament, they are living in <br />lower quality housing, receiving lower <br />quality health care, and may be living in <br />family situations where their mental <br />and/or physical health is more threatened. <br />Police Protection <br />As of 1996, there were 246 full time officers <br />serving Orange County. Between today and <br />203 ' 0 an additional 152 officers will be <br />needed to maintain 1996 service levels. <br />Commensurate with this increase in officers <br />is the need for a joint training facility for all <br />Orange County officers. Such a facility <br />would need to contain A firing range, <br />classroom and driver training area.. <br />Health Services <br />Developing projections of the number of <br />persons impacted by disability or illness is <br />difficult, without a clear understanding of <br />possible advancements in health treatment <br />and technology. At best we are able to <br />provide a qualitative assessment of how <br />population growth may impact upon the <br />provision of health and related services. <br />Increases in the Hispanic and senior <br />population, along with the growth of areas <br />9 <br />outside of Chapel Hill and Carrboro will <br />shape the delivery of health services in the <br />coming thirty years. The disparity between <br />Hispanic residents . and non - Hispanic <br />residents in terms of health coverage and <br />the graying of the population, will <br />ultimately increase the need for health <br />services. At present Orange County, ranks <br />second statewide in the number of beds and <br />health care workers, but most of these <br />services are concentrated within Chapel <br />Hill township. As the population moves <br />outward to other portions of the County, <br />health services, will need to follow. This <br />may require the construction of facilities, <br />and/or the development of an affordable <br />and accessible transportation system that <br />enables those with mobility or economic <br />restrictions access to health services. <br />Disability Services <br />In addition to increasing accessibility to <br />health care, one of the chief tasks facing <br />County residents will be to provide support <br />services for the County's disabled. The lack <br />of job training, educational opportunities, <br />and job opportunities for the disabled is one <br />of the reasons why the unemployment rate <br />for the disabled (8.7%), in Orange County is <br />more than double, the county-wide <br />unemployment rate (3.6%). The most recent <br />and available unemployment numbers for <br />the disabled is from the 1990 census. Since <br />1990, the Orange County unemployment <br />rate has fallen to approximately 2%. <br />According to the 1990 census, 3497 County <br />residents were not in the labor force <br />because of their disabilities. <br />Solid Waste <br />Given the projected population Orange <br />County residents would produce 2,824,616 <br />tons of municipal solid waste if the <br />County's waste reduction and diversion <br />goals are met If these goals are not met <br />3,850,337 tons of municipal solid waste will <br />2030 Baseline Scenario April 1999 <br />