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Section II <br />A Student Growth Rate <br />1. Responsible Entity for Suggesting Change — The updating of this section will be <br />conducted by the Planning Directors, School Representatives, Technical Advisory <br />Committee (SAPFOTAC) each year and referred to the BOCC for annual report <br />certification. <br />Projections will be distributed to SAPFO partners for review and comments to the BOCC <br />prior to certification. <br />2. Definition — The annual percentage growth rate calculated from the projections resulting <br />from the average of the five models represented by 10 year numerical membership <br />projections by school level for each school district. This does not represent the year -by- <br />year growth rate that may be positive or negative but rather the average of the annual <br />growth rates over ten (10) years. <br />3. Standard for: <br />Chapel Hill Carrboro School District <br />See Attachment II.D.2 <br />4. Analysis of Existing Conditions <br />The membership figures and percentage <br />growth on the attachments show <br />continued growth at each school level <br />within the system. <br />Average Annual Growth Rate over ten years: <br />Standard for: <br />Orange County School District <br />See Attachment II.D.2 <br />Analysis of Existing Conditions <br />The membership figures and percentage <br />growth on the attachments show continued <br />growth at each school level within the <br />system. <br />Average Annual Growth Rate over ten years: <br />Year <br />Projection <br />Made: <br />2004 <br />2005 <br />2006 <br />2007 <br />2008 <br />Year <br />Projection <br />Made: <br />2004 <br />2005 <br />2006 <br />2007 <br />2008 <br />Elementary <br />1.79% <br />1.95% <br />2.03% <br />1.85% <br />1.5% <br />Elementary <br />1.68% <br />1.6% <br />1.49% <br />1.84% <br />1.16% <br />Middle <br />1.91% <br />2.41% <br />2.35% <br />2.58% <br />2.03% <br />Middle <br />1.5% <br />1.18% <br />1.42% <br />1.78% <br />1.44% <br />High <br />2.04% <br />1 1.95% <br />1 2.04% <br />1 2.31% <br />12.21% <br />High <br />1.21% <br />0.92% <br />1 0.98% <br />1 1.49% <br />1 1.0% <br />5. Recommendation <br />Use statistics as noted. <br />Recommendation <br />Use statistics as noted <br />W. <br />7 <br />