Orange County NC Website
2009 SAPFOTAC Executive Summary <br />I. Base Memorandum of Understanding <br />A. Level of Service .................. ............................(No Change) ......... Pg. I <br />B. Building Capacity and Membership ......................... (Change) .......... Pg. 2 <br />Chapel HilllCarrboro <br />School District <br />Orange County <br />School District <br />Elementary <br />105% <br />105% <br />Middle <br />107% <br />107% <br />Hi h <br />110% <br />110% <br />B. Building Capacity and Membership ......................... (Change) .......... Pg. 2 <br />C. Membership Date — November 15...........(No Change) ....... Pg.17 <br />II. Annual Update to SAPFO System <br />A. Capital Investment Plan ( CIP) ............................ (Change)..........Pg.18 <br />B. Student Membership Projection Methodology ...... (Na Change) ....... Pg. 19 <br />The average of 3, 5, and 10 year history /cohort survival, linear and arithmetic projection models. <br />C. Student Membership Projections ............................. (Change)...........Pg.29 <br />Analysis of 5 Years of Projections for 2008 -09 School Year — Chapel Hill Carrboro City Schools <br />Chapel HilUCarrboro <br />School District <br />Orange County <br />School District <br />projection was high comp ared to the actual. <br />Capacity <br />Membership <br />Increase <br />from Prior <br />Year <br />Capacity <br />Membership <br />Increase <br />from Prior <br />Year <br />Elementaty <br />5244 <br />5302 <br />129 <br />3694 <br />3165 <br />7 <br />Middle <br />2840 <br />2697 <br />75 <br />2166 <br />1601 <br />36) <br />Hi h <br />3835 11 <br />630 <br />1 (5) <br />2558 11 <br />2242 <br />1 41 <br />C. Membership Date — November 15...........(No Change) ....... Pg.17 <br />II. Annual Update to SAPFO System <br />A. Capital Investment Plan ( CIP) ............................ (Change)..........Pg.18 <br />B. Student Membership Projection Methodology ...... (Na Change) ....... Pg. 19 <br />The average of 3, 5, and 10 year history /cohort survival, linear and arithmetic projection models. <br />C. Student Membership Projections ............................. (Change)...........Pg.29 <br />Analysis of 5 Years of Projections for 2008 -09 School Year — Chapel Hill Carrboro City Schools <br />(The number in brackets [n] is the number of students the projection was off compared to actual membership. A number in parenthesis <br />within the brackets [ (n) ] indicates the projection was low compared to the actual whereas a number not in parenthesis indicates the <br />projection was high comp ared to the actual. <br />Year Projection Made for 2008 -09 Membership <br />Actual 2008 <br />2003 <br />2004 <br />2005 <br />2006 <br />2007 <br />Membershi <br />Elementary <br />5302 <br />5465 163 <br />5129 (173) <br />5296 (6) J <br />5273 (29) <br />5317 15 <br />Middle <br />2697 <br />3000 303 <br />2757 60 <br />2749 52 <br />2686 (11 <br />2684 (13) <br />High <br />3630 <br />3790 [160 <br />3671 [41 <br />3687 57 <br />3648 18 <br />3695 65 <br />