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CHCCS Student Projections (1) (4)
<br />CICn116111Cn
<br />School Year
<br />2000.01
<br />2001.02
<br />2002.03
<br />2003.04
<br />2004.05
<br />1200&06
<br />2006.07
<br />2007.08
<br />2008.09
<br />2009.10
<br />2010.11
<br />2011 -12
<br />2012.13
<br />2013.14
<br />2014.15
<br />2015.16
<br />2016.17
<br />2016.17
<br />2017.18
<br />2018.19
<br />Actual
<br />4,444
<br />4,474
<br />4,551
<br />4,692
<br />4,695
<br />4,879
<br />4,980
<br />5,173
<br />5,302
<br />5,497
<br />5,614
<br />5,730
<br />5,847
<br />5,964
<br />6,081
<br />4,272
<br />6,197
<br />6,314
<br />6,431
<br />Tischler t2)
<br />5,380
<br />5,400
<br />5,466
<br />5,392
<br />5,390
<br />-, °5408
<br />,.. , .. . ... .,,.. .,.n' . .,,.
<br />„. _e3 0 .
<br />s& °; _ , , . 9
<br />OC Planning
<br />5,503
<br />5,654
<br />5,512
<br />5,497
<br />5533
<br />5,581
<br />5,782
<br />5,582
<br />5,557
<br />�` 5623
<br />< �
<br />5,657
<br />5,881
<br />5,640
<br />5,609
<br />5703
<br />.
<br />5,733
<br />5,858
<br />5,689
<br />5,649
<br />6755
<br />,. -.1... . ..
<br />5,808
<br />6,017
<br />5,746
<br />5,705
<br />5848
<br />5,882
<br />6,078
<br />5,803
<br />5,763
<br />t* 5921
<br />.... .=. .
<br />.. ,.
<br />5,956
<br />6,138
<br />5,861
<br />5.820
<br />- 6994
<br />. . a.. T3
<br />6,055
<br />6,200
<br />5,920
<br />5.878
<br />6073
<br />., ?.
<br />6,155
<br />6,262
<br />5,979
<br />5,937
<br />6153`
<br />10 Year Growth
<br />5 Year Growth
<br />3 Year Growth
<br />W U ,.: - .._, _ _. ?
<br />,,. .... .....
<br />Capacity - 100 %Level of Service LOS
<br />4,302
<br />4,490
<br />4,211
<br />4.302
<br />4,302
<br />4302
<br />4921
<br />4,921
<br />4921
<br />4,921
<br />4,921
<br />5244
<br />44
<br />544
<br />5A44
<br />5,244
<br />5244
<br />5"
<br />544
<br />..:. .. .__.. ...
<br />., .... ..
<br />n r . - N _. r ,:, ..,.148 :.,.i" . � 199..
<br />5"
<br />5,244
<br />5,244
<br />Number of Students Actual and Projected, Over Under 100% LOS
<br />_... :
<br />.__.
<br />.,, 87
<br />- � '
<br />142
<br />172
<br />249
<br />229
<br />226
<br />42
<br />59
<br />252
<br />'. ?58
<br />162
<br />289
<br />379
<br />459
<br />511
<br />604
<br />677
<br />'3035
<br />750
<br />829
<br />909
<br />Capacity -105% Level of Service LOS
<br />'8835
<br />11617
<br />4,517
<br />- 5,167
<br />5,167
<br />5,167
<br />5,167
<br />6,167
<br />5,6 06
<br />5,506
<br />b
<br />" 5.506
<br />5,506
<br />5,506
<br />5,506
<br />5,506
<br />479
<br />' 5,506
<br />5,606
<br />'' 6,506
<br />Number of Students, Actual and Projected, Over Under 105% LOS
<br />83
<br />43
<br />34
<br />47
<br />472
<br />288
<br />187
<br />6
<br />204
<br />0011111
<br />26
<br />1 17
<br />197
<br />249
<br />1 342.
<br />1 415
<br />3,339
<br />'. 488
<br />567
<br />647
<br />Actual - %Level of Service
<br />103.3%
<br />104.0%
<br />105.8%
<br />95.3%1
<br />95.4%
<br />99.1%1
<br />101.2%
<br />105.1%
<br />101.7%
<br />Number of Students, Actual and Projected, Over Under 110% LOS
<br />105.5%1
<br />107.2%
<br />8%
<br />1 109.7%1
<br />111.5%1
<br />112.9%1
<br />176
<br />114.3%
<br />115.8%
<br />117.3%
<br />Average - % Level of Service
<br />, . ._:
<br />:' ",0.68%
<br />...
<br />' 1.72 %.::
<br />,.
<br />- ,8.10%
<br />° o
<br />� ",0106,5
<br />..< o
<br />- ;:8.92k
<br />. ".� ..2.07%
<br />..;; _.e.:., .; .. o
<br />-:: ._.3.68/s � ..:z.49/o
<br />103.1%1
<br />,. .:
<br />AnnuaiStudent Growth Rate(3) "' ., '
<br />o
<br />"." "1.95h
<br />,;,' €: ..
<br />_. 2.35%
<br />r:. .. ::;1.64/0
<br />., "i;.
<br />.. 1.43%
<br />: ,, .. "e
<br />_... ,...0.91 %
<br />-; 6
<br />",�" ` �._. 1. 1%
<br />` 1.26%1
<br />`° '° � ` .,
<br />„`1.23%
<br />- . ".
<br />E-E r 15, 2005 Certified Capacity Calculations, CHCCS projects Elementary #10 opening for school year 2008-09. In accordance
<br />Elementary #9 opens in fall 2003 with additional 619 seats opted School construction Standards, elementary school capadry totals 600 students.
<br />Indicates first year that district surpasses Schools APFO recommended Level of Service ots: Per 2005 egreomentofschool Collaboration Work croup, Grades K -3 class size reduced from 1:23 to 1 :z1
<br />mentary #30 opens (to allow for prior Lagisladve Action re: reduced oleo size)
<br />in It is Important to note that this reflects the November 15, 2008 date of membership as ouNned in by the Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance. It does not Include CHCCS students attending the Hospital School.
<br />iz! The Tischler Model provides for the "Linear Method" of projections for both CHCCS and OCS. Original projections used in prior years projection models Included the "Linear Extrapolation Method" for CHCCS.
<br />n/ Annual growth rate calculated using actual membership for years 2000 -01 through 2008 -09 and average membership for years 2009 -10 through 2018.19
<br />I4i Class sizes for grades K -3 =1:23 for school years 2000 through 2007 -08. in accordance with 2005 School Collaboration Work Group direction, with planned opening of CHCCS Elementary#101n school year 200 &09, K -3 class sizes for school years 2008.09 through 2017 -18 reflect 1:21 as directed by past State legislative action.
<br />CHCCS Student Projections (1)
<br />Capacity -100 / Level of Service ` 2,1081 2,840 1 2,8401 +2 840 2,840 ' ` 2,840 1 2,8401 2,840 1 2,840 ` 2,840 1 2,840 1 2,840 ' 2,840 1 2,8401 - 2,840 1 2,840 1 2,840 1 2,840 1 2,840
<br />Number of Students, Actual and Projected, Over (Under) 100% LOS `218 300 232 228 280 268 '248 218 143 (82)1 `14 `. 45 ' 120 219 283 879 -018 X458
<br />107% Level of Service 2 256 3 039 3 039
<br />3,0391 3 039 3,039 3,039 3,039 3,039 3,039 3 039 3 039 3 039 3 039 3 139 21 039 3 039 3 039 3 039
<br />- -n rnasx 1- 1e0o1 1 1AAni 1eanl 1-1171 .1 nta 9 11 12a11 121,411 1154il 17911 29 1 841 1371 180 1 220 1 259
<br />116.1%
<br />Indicates first year that district surpasses Schools APFO recommended Level of Service
<br />lit it Is Important to note that this reflects the November 15, 2008 date of membership as oul fined In by the Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance. It does not Include CHCCS students attending the Hospital School.
<br />al The Tischler Model provides for the "Linear Method" of projections for both CHCCS and OCS. Original projections used in prior years projection models Included the "Linear Extrapolation Method" for CHCCS.
<br />i'I Annual growth rate calculated using actual membership for years 2000 -01 through 2008.09 and average membership for years 2009 -10 through 2018.19
<br />CHCCS Student Projections (1)
<br />nnyu
<br />School Year
<br />2000.01
<br />2001.02
<br />2002.03
<br />2003.04
<br />2004 -05
<br />2005-06
<br />2006.07 2007.08
<br />2008.09
<br />2009.10
<br />2010-11
<br />2011.12
<br />2012 -13
<br />2013-14
<br />2014.15
<br />2015.16
<br />2016.17
<br />2017.18
<br />2018.19
<br />Actual
<br />2,815
<br />2,963
<br />3,162
<br />3,330
<br />3,422
<br />3,514
<br />3,520
<br />3,635
<br />3,630
<br />3,862
<br />3,798
<br />3,719
<br />3,662
<br />3,944
<br />4,026
<br />4,108
<br />4,190
<br />4,272
<br />4,354
<br />4A36
<br />4,518
<br />Tischler xzl
<br />31760
<br />3,739
<br />3,664
<br />3,638
<br />3,663
<br />-." x`3697
<br />OC Planning
<br />3,860
<br />3,849
<br />3,777
<br />3,964
<br />3,918
<br />3,838
<br />4.048
<br />4.011
<br />3,898
<br />4,132
<br />4,184
<br />4,031
<br />4,217
<br />4.326
<br />4,115
<br />4,302
<br />4,490
<br />4,211
<br />4,388
<br />4,687
<br />4,318
<br />4,474
<br />4,814
<br />4,375
<br />10 Year Growth
<br />5 Year Growth
<br />3 Year Growth
<br />3,718
<br />3752
<br />3,853
<br />'s �° 3
<br />3,904
<br />3930
<br />3,957
<br />4004
<br />4,082
<br />X4124
<br />4,155
<br />4 17=
<br />4,257
<br />4323
<br />4.350
<br />.: 443 6
<br />4,396
<br />- r.'
<br />Avera a „.< °� ' °` ° >' • -- = -rw.
<br />_.
<br />. .. °.;;:, ...,. „.;
<br />_.:,
<br />-: bershl -< . . . .. . ..
<br />e, increase Decrease In Actual: &?Proected Mem
<br />.....,
<br />, ..
<br />... . ....:
<br />..:. .. .__.. ...
<br />., .... ..
<br />n r . - N _. r ,:, ..,.148 :.,.i" . � 199..
<br />,- .. ".
<br />.. ... ..
<br />,: ,. ,..+..,,168
<br />,. °..... -:.
<br />, .,., „...,_ 92
<br />,..,_.
<br />.... ..
<br />, ,. .�.:.., _. 92
<br />.. ... „_.
<br />,...., .. , , 8 , -., , ,
<br />,.._„ ;...P3,8353
<br />_... :
<br />.__.
<br />.,, 87
<br />- � '
<br />° ._,.
<br />....,. ,...._55.
<br />_ -�
<br />',: ,.
<br />..., ,'..
<br />_. , ........109
<br />.. :.., .,
<br />_, ,,_.. __...
<br />.....,... _ . __89
<br />.; -.
<br />..,_
<br />_ _. _...74
<br />-.;93=
<br />„_ .,_.,,119
<br />.....,.
<br />Ca acit - 100 %Level of Service
<br />'3035
<br />'3035
<br />' -> 3035
<br />' 3035
<br />3035
<br />'3035
<br />8035 '
<br />+3835
<br />'8835
<br />"3835
<br />3,835
<br />"8,835
<br />` 3,835
<br />:8835
<br />' 3,836
<br />3835
<br />3,835
<br />Number of Students, Actual and Projected, Over Under 100% LOS
<br />220
<br />72
<br />- 127
<br />295
<br />387
<br />479
<br />485
<br />200
<br />205
<br />` 138
<br />83
<br />26
<br />95
<br />169
<br />`289
<br />382
<br />' '488
<br />` 601
<br />'. 660
<br />110% Level of Service
<br />3,339
<br />3,339
<br />3,339
<br />3,339
<br />3,339
<br />3,339
<br />3,339
<br />4,219
<br />4)",
<br />4,219
<br />4,219
<br />4,219
<br />4,219
<br />4,219
<br />4,219
<br />4,219
<br />4,219
<br />4,219
<br />4,219
<br />Number of Students, Actual and Projected, Over Under 110% LOS
<br />524
<br />376
<br />17
<br />9
<br />83
<br />176
<br />162
<br />584
<br />(589
<br />- 522
<br />467
<br />358
<br />289
<br />214
<br />95
<br />2
<br />104
<br />217
<br />297
<br />Actual - %Level of Service
<br />92.8%
<br />97.6%
<br />104.2%
<br />109.7%
<br />112.8%
<br />115.8%
<br />116.0%
<br />94.8%
<br />94.7%
<br />97.8 %
<br />100.7%
<br />102.5%
<br />104.4%
<br />107.5%
<br />110.0%
<br />112.7%
<br />115.7%
<br />117.7%
<br />Avera e- %Level of Service
<br />`'."6.28%
<br />:- `8.72 %
<br />=. 5.31%
<br />:2.76%
<br />` -2.69%
<br />"r '0.17% _` ,-
<br />,,,
<br />3.27%
<br />. ,,...
<br />-' -0.14%
<br />4%
<br />Annuai Student Growttr':itate(3) ? "' .. '" _ �` ` "_ '-"'
<br />":1.84°
<br />'1.49%
<br />...
<br />. -. e"2.90%1:-
<br />.x.1.80%
<br />_.1.69%
<br />, 0
<br />.:2.98,6
<br />,.
<br />]- 2.26 %.
<br />° °` 2!51%
<br />Indicates first year that district surpasses Schools APFO recommended Level of Service
<br />I') It Is Important to note that this reflects the November 15, 2008 date of membership as outlined In by the Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance. It does not Include CHCCS students attending the Hospital School.
<br />iz) The Tischler Model provides for the "Linear Method" of projections for both CHCCS and OCS. Original projections used In prior years projection models Included the "Linear Extrapolation Method" for CHCCS.
<br />�I Annual growth rate calculated using actual membership for years 2000 -01 through 2008.09 and average membership for years 2009.10 through 2018 -19
<br />high school #3 opens In fail 2001 with 600 additional seats
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<br />�i1
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