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0127/2009
<br />OCS Student Projections (1) (4)
<br />Elementary
<br />School Year
<br />2000-01
<br />2001 -02
<br />2002 -03
<br />2003-04
<br />2004-05
<br />2005-06
<br />2006 -07
<br />2007 -08
<br />2008-09
<br />2009.10
<br />2010.11
<br />2011.12
<br />2012 -13
<br />2013.14
<br />2014 -15
<br />2015.16
<br />2014.15
<br />2016.17
<br />2017.18
<br />2018.19
<br />Actual
<br />3,078
<br />2,893
<br />1 2,901
<br />1 2,945
<br />1 3,016 1
<br />3,006 1
<br />3,072 1
<br />3,158:
<br />3,165
<br />2,201 -
<br />3,308
<br />3,385
<br />3,432
<br />3,467
<br />3,501
<br />3,536
<br />2,404
<br />3.571
<br />3,607
<br />3,642
<br />Tischler al
<br />,. ,.,. ..,•... ,.. ,..
<br />,_ ,__.._, •,_. �,e,,,, _,..,� 166 _,,.....,� ,,, 8..,__,
<br />3,234
<br />3,221
<br />3,200
<br />3,206
<br />3,196
<br />a. _3 211
<br />:._ ...,... . , ... ........... , ....:.... 66 ._......,......_. _,,...x._.. i_ .. „...,... ,_,...,46..._....
<br />_._.,_,44 . ,...... „._,._71. _,� .. _ . 10 ... ,__ .. ,....... . _.80.. .... 7, ...
<br />OC Planning
<br />3,278
<br />- 3,195
<br />3,202
<br />3,186
<br />. �r,._ .., 3 234..
<br />.�.. .32
<br />3,335
<br />3,241
<br />3,246
<br />3,227
<br />" . "• .:.3 287
<br />�. <..,..._53 .._.
<br />- 3,392
<br />3,290
<br />3,298
<br />3,273
<br />.,
<br />,., ::., �.�, 3 337
<br />_ ....,..._ _,.50
<br />3,450
<br />3,303
<br />3,305
<br />3,273
<br />, a, ,. 3 360
<br />, ,_..,.- , ,.33
<br />3,507
<br />3,336
<br />3,338
<br />3,306
<br />, .. of . "'3 398;
<br />... <. 8,...,
<br />3,564
<br />3,369
<br />3,371
<br />3,339
<br />I-.�8
<br />, _. - � 4865
<br />3,621
<br />3.403
<br />3,425
<br />3,373
<br />, ,3 479 -
<br />., ,
<br />3,679
<br />3,437
<br />3,439
<br />3,406
<br />3,736
<br />3,475
<br />3,473
<br />3,440
<br />10 Year Growth
<br />5 Year Growth
<br />3 Year Growth
<br />Avers e,
<br />:. <_ � _ ,_
<br />AnnuaLChan e, ",- Increase: Decrease 'An'Actual &:P,ro ectedMembershi . - _,...., �. -:," a_.
<br />Capacity - 100 %Level of Service
<br />:3820
<br />:3820
<br />`.3820
<br />3,820
<br />3820
<br />3,920
<br />3922
<br />3,922
<br />3922
<br />:3694
<br />3,694
<br />3,694
<br />3,694
<br />-3694
<br />'3694
<br />3,694
<br />422'
<br />3,694
<br />:3694
<br />'3694
<br />Number of Students Actual and Projected, Over Under 100% LOS
<br />742
<br />927
<br />919
<br />875
<br />804
<br />914
<br />850
<br />` 764
<br />757
<br />483
<br />460
<br />407
<br />357
<br />334
<br />296
<br />258
<br />'2533
<br />215
<br />180
<br />141
<br />105% Level of Service
<br />4,011
<br />4,011
<br />4,011
<br />4011
<br />4011
<br />4,116
<br />4118
<br />4, 118
<br />4,118
<br />3,879
<br />3879
<br />3,879
<br />3,879
<br />-3879
<br />3,879
<br />3,879
<br />295
<br />.$879
<br />3,879
<br />3879
<br />Number of Students Actual and Projected, Over Under 105% LOS
<br />933
<br />1;,118)
<br />(1,110)
<br />(1,066)
<br />995
<br />(1.110)
<br />1 046
<br />960
<br />' 953
<br />J6671
<br />645
<br />J592),
<br />542
<br />519
<br />481
<br />443
<br />2,786
<br />400
<br />365
<br />326
<br />Actual - % Level of Service
<br />80.6%]
<br />75.7%,
<br />75.9%
<br />77.1%
<br />79.0%
<br />76.7%
<br />78.3 %
<br />2
<br />83
<br />87.5%
<br />89.0%
<br />90.3%
<br />90.9%
<br />92.0%
<br />93.0%
<br />585 )
<br />94.2%
<br />95.1%
<br />96.2%
<br />Average - %LevelofService
<br />. , ,.,.
<br />-...
<br />.,,, .. °
<br />.,.. :c6.01/°
<br />- "' "' 0.28/°
<br />" �.. " x.1:52%
<br />. ^:'2.41/° ...,.,:,
<br />" ..: ,
<br />... -0.33
<br />: , ;3. /°
<br />.,... ,.,. ..
<br />,...
<br />86.9%
<br />, , '- , . , ,
<br />Annual:StudentGrowth Rate (3)' :, " , :. � � ._..;
<br />. „ ., :.;. 1.47/°
<br />.:: ,. ",..._
<br />_., ..,..0.70%
<br />, .: 1.64/
<br />..1.53/°
<br />,,
<br />, .1.0.68%
<br />: +. :. 3
<br />_,,.1.1 �
<br />.... 2
<br />_.11 h
<br />_
<br />_; "1.25 °°
<br />/
<br />• ,,,_„ ;:.7.M./d,
<br />.1.13%
<br />additional 100 new seats @ Nlllsbomugh �ementary
<br />Indicates first year that district surpasses Schools APFO recommended Level of Service
<br />I'I It is Important to note that this reflects the November 15, 2008 dale of membership as outlined in by the Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance. It does not Include CHCCS students attending the Hospital School.
<br />m The Tischler Model provides for the "Linear Method" of projections for both CHCCS and OCS, Original projections used in prior years projection models Included the "Linear Extrapolation Method" for CHCCS.
<br />rn Annual growth rate calculated using actual membership for years 2000.01 through 2008 -09 and average membership for years 2009 -10 through 2018 -19
<br />I <t Class sizes for grades K -3 =1:23 for school years 2000 through 2008 -09. In accordance with 2005 School Collaboration Work Group direction, with planned opening of CHCCS Elementary #10 in school year 2008 -09, K -3 class sizes for school years after 2008 -09 reflect 1:21 as directed by past State legislative action. This results In OCS elementary capacity reduction (district wide) of 239
<br />seats (decreasing from 4,118 [105% LOS @ 1:23 class size] to 3,879 [105% LOS (d 1:21 class size]).
<br />OCS Student Projections(1)
<br />m0lcales nrst year mat oistnct surpasses ounoos mrry re -111 -1 reeu Levei u, oarvrca
<br />I'I it is Important to note that this reflects the November 15, 2008 date of membership as outlined In by the Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance. it does not Include CHCCS students attending the Hospital School.
<br />m The Taschler Model provides for the "Linear Method" of projections for both CHCCS and OCS. Odginai projections used in prior years projection models Included the "Linear Extrapolation Method" for CHCCS.
<br />o> Annual growth rate calculated using actual membership for years 2000.01 through 2006 -09 and average membership for years 2009 -10 through 2018 -19
<br />OCS Student Projections (1)
<br />High
<br />School Year
<br />2000-01
<br />2001 -02
<br />2002 -03 2003.04
<br />2004.05
<br />2005-06 12006 -07
<br />2007 -D8 2006 -09
<br />2009.10
<br />2010.11
<br />2011 -12
<br />2012.13
<br />2013.14
<br />2014.15
<br />2016.16
<br />2016 -17
<br />2017 -18
<br />2018.19
<br />Actual
<br />1 1,672
<br />1.753
<br />1.828
<br />1,887
<br />2.057
<br />2,124 1
<br />2,184
<br />2,201 -
<br />2,242
<br />2,284
<br />2,324
<br />2,364
<br />2,404
<br />2,444
<br />2,484
<br />2,524
<br />2,564
<br />2,604
<br />Tischler IZI
<br />2,245
<br />2 272
<br />2,175
<br />2,196
<br />OC Planning
<br />2,294
<br />2,160
<br />2,189
<br />2,114
<br />2,318
<br />2,191
<br />2,233
<br />2,124
<br />2,371
<br />2,189
<br />2,247
<br />2,101
<br />2,425
<br />2,267
<br />2,334
<br />2,160
<br />2,481
<br />2,286
<br />2,354
<br />2,157
<br />2,538
<br />2,292
<br />2,363
<br />2,155
<br />2,596
<br />2,355
<br />2,427
<br />2,206
<br />2,656
<br />2.348
<br />2,411
<br />2,198
<br />2,717
<br />2,381
<br />2,440
<br />2,230
<br />10 Year Growth
<br />5 Year Growth
<br />3 Year Growth
<br />,..:
<br />Annual Chan e:- :Increase: Decrease 9m :Actuate &.P.ro ected:Membershi
<br />:�i ,.,,, ..�:
<br />., , , .,
<br />�,,,.. .......
<br />,,, ,;,; , ,
<br />.,.. ,..
<br />. ................
<br />2,159
<br />D.
<br />,._ „>
<br />,,; , s„ ._,,..:; „ -:..: _... „, .. , . _..,,.: , ,:.. ._ , . :: . _..... . ,. ,:.
<br />,.r ,.... ,. . ,. _....„ ,__.. , _. ...... _6.. ,...,.._., 6D..,. _<...., .,,_17.. _..w ,_ __,.41 _. .....:... ....3.92
<br />,.. ,._..�_81 .. _....... -„ _,75 .._. , _...59 .. , .170. ,.__... 7.
<br />_.....,_ �, ..I2
<br />, ....
<br />„.........:.30,
<br />_ , .,. „._,
<br />., _.. 16
<br />., .,,..�.�., 64
<br />„ 26 ";
<br />422'
<br />.`:. _, �,.2 `435
<br />:; , 2 474,
<br />Capacity - 100% Level ofService
<br />1,518
<br />1,518
<br />8
<br />2,618
<br />2518
<br />2,618
<br />2,518
<br />2,533
<br />2,633
<br />°2533
<br />:
<br />2,533
<br />2,533
<br />'2533
<br />-2533
<br />'2533
<br />-2533
<br />-2533
<br />2,533
<br />''2533
<br />Number of Students Actual and Projected, Over Under 100% LOS
<br />154
<br />235
<br />690
<br />631
<br />461
<br />394
<br />334
<br />332
<br />291
<br />` 323
<br />325
<br />295
<br />279
<br />215
<br />` 189
<br />167
<br />111
<br />98
<br />59
<br />110% Level of Service
<br />1 670
<br />70
<br />2,770
<br />2,770
<br />2,770
<br />2,770
<br />2,770
<br />2,786
<br />86
<br />2,786
<br />2,786
<br />2,786
<br />2,786
<br />2,786
<br />2,786
<br />2,786
<br />2,786
<br />2,786
<br />2,786
<br />Number of Students Actual and Projected, Over Under 110% LOS
<br />2
<br />83
<br />942
<br />883
<br />713
<br />646
<br />586
<br />585 )
<br />15781
<br />1548)
<br />532
<br />468
<br />442
<br />(420
<br />365
<br />351
<br />312
<br />Actual- % Level of Service
<br />.1%
<br />115.5%
<br />72.6%
<br />74.9%
<br />81.7%
<br />84.4%
<br />86.7%
<br />86.9%
<br />87.2 %
<br />88.4 %
<br />89.0%
<br />91.5%1
<br />92.6%
<br />93.4%
<br />95.6%
<br />96.1%1
<br />97.7%
<br />Avem e - %Level of Service
<br />AnnualStudentjGrowthRate(3) ". ' ':
<br />-
<br />' -- -.
<br />`- - .::4.84%
<br />... °
<br />-, :x.,4.28/°
<br />e
<br />"..3.23/°
<br />.: °
<br />- . -9.01%
<br />- .:,.,.
<br />..::.3.26/° =;...2.82%
<br />„
<br />,.
<br />0.78/° ,.1.86/°
<br />0.0%
<br />87.2 %
<br />::,.
<br />_..... 44 %...:
<br />.:. '..
<br />,._e
<br />-0.07h
<br />,,_:., ,,:
<br />.. ..1.35/0
<br />_.
<br />., :::.0.73 %...
<br />,., :
<br />.,,3.82/°
<br />'.
<br />,.:, ;, ,.,1.94%
<br />-
<br />- <.- 0.94 %_..
<br />'..._..33
<br />_2 /°.,
<br />, -. :'.0:57°`,
<br />Y
<br />/
<br />cedar drip high opens with 1,000 seats In fall 2002
<br />Partnership Academy Alternative School capadiy added
<br />Indicates first year that district surpasses Schools APFO recommended Level of Service
<br />I'1 It Is Important to note that this reflects the November 15, 2000 date of membership as outlined In by the Schools Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance. It does not Include CHCCS students attending the Hospital School.
<br />nt The Tischler Model provides for the "Linear Method" of projections for both CHCCS and OCS. Original projections used In prior years projection models Included the "Linear Extrapolation Method" for CHCCS.
<br />nl Annual growth rate calculated using actual membership for years 20OD -01 through 2008.09 and average membership for years 2009 -10 through 2018 -19
<br />a
<br />w•
<br />
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