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Section II <br />Chapel Hill Carrboro School District <br />Elementary <br />The previous year (2007) projection for November 2008 at this level was overestimated by 15 <br />students. The actual growth was +129. Over the previous seven (7) years, this level has shown <br />varying increases in growth. From 2001 until 2003, growth steadily increased; however, in <br />2004, the increase suddenly fell to an increase of only 3 additional students. In years since 2004, <br />student membership has increased by over 100 students per year. Projections done this year <br />include the student membership from Morris Grove Elementary which opened in August 2008. <br />The projections show the need for Elementary School #11 in 2010 -11. A site has been identified <br />for Elementary School #11 and efforts are underway to identify construction funding. <br />In 2007, State Statutes were amended so that effective the 2009 -2010 school year, children <br />entering kindergarten must be five years old by August 31st of the year starting school, versus <br />the current statewide policy date of October 16th. For the 2009 -2010 school year, this will result <br />in a 45 week enrollment period as opposed to the typical 52 week birthday enrollment period, <br />thereby creating a potential for a reduction in the number of children entering kindergarten in <br />2009. The 7 weeks lost in 2009 -2010 will be picked up in 2010 -2011, resulting in a 59 week <br />enrollment period, and the children not entering kindergarten in 2009 due to the policy change <br />will accordingly be added to the rolls in 2010. The enrollment period will return to 52 weeks in <br />the years following, and the membership numbers should return to projected levels. <br />Middle <br />The previous year (2007) projection for November 2008 for this level was underestimated by 13 <br />students. The actual membership increased by 75. Over the previous seven (7) years, growth <br />decreased precipitously from 214 to 68 to 4, to —52 and then has seen modest increases of +12, <br />+20,+30 and +75 since 2004. This school level shows a projected need for Middle School #5 in <br />2013 -14, which is the same year projected in last year's projections. <br />30 <br />