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Attachment 1I.B.3 <br />Section II (page 4 of 4) <br />Chapel Hill/Carrboro School District <br />School Membership 2008-2009 School Year (November 14, 2008) <br />Statistical Findings <br />PROJECTION TYPE A BBREVIA TIONS <br />'TISCHLER' LINEAR (T) <br />10 YEAR COHORT (10C) <br />ORANGE COUNTY PLANNING (OCP) <br />5-YEAR COHORT (5C) <br />-3-YEAR COHORT (3C) <br />Elementary School Level <br />• Projections were mixed (low and high) ranging from a low of 7 students to a high of 65 <br />students when compared to the actual November 14, 2008 membership numbers. The <br />average projection was 15 students higher than the actual membership. <br />• The membership actually increased by 129 members between November 15, 2007 and <br />November 14, 2008. <br />Middle School Level <br />• Projections were all low, by 5 to 21 students. The average projection was 13 students <br />lower than the actual membership. <br />• The membership actually increased by 75 members between November 15, 2007 and <br />November 14, 2008. <br />High School Level <br />• Projections were all high, by 54 to 98 students. The average projection was 65 students <br />high. <br />• The total membership actually decreased by 5 members between November 15, 2007 <br />and November 14, 2008. <br />TOTAL <br />• The total of all school level projections were high, by between 26 and 114 students. The <br />average projection was high by 67 students. <br />• The membership increased in total by 199 students, which is the sum of +129 at <br />Elementary, +75 at Middle, and (5) at High. <br />04-11 <br />