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Attachment II.B. 2 <br />Section II (page 4 of 4) <br />Chapel Hill/Carrboro School District <br />School Membership 2007-2008 School Year (November 15, 2007) <br />Statistical Findings <br />PROJECTION TYPE A BBREVIA TIONS <br />'TISCHLER' LINEAR (T) <br />10 -YEAR COHORT (10C) <br />ORANGE COUNTY PLANNING (OCP) <br />5-YEAR COHORT (5C) <br />3-YEAR COHORT (3C) <br />Elementary School Level <br />• Projections were mostly low (by 16 to 94 students) with one high projection (by 60 <br />students) when compared to the actual November 15, 2007 enrollment. The average <br />projection was 31 students lower than the actual membership. <br />® The membership actually increased by 193 members between November 15, 2006 and <br />November 15, 2007. <br />Middle School Level <br />Projections were mixed (high and low) ranging from a low of 34 to a high of 48. The <br />average projection was exactly what the actual membership is. <br />The membership actually increased by 30 members between November 15, 2006 and <br />November 15, 2007. <br />High School Level <br />Projections were all low (by 19 to 65 students). The average projection was 36 students <br />low. <br />The total membership actually increased by 115 members between November 15, 2006 <br />and November 15, 2007. <br />TOTAL <br />The total of all school level projections were all low by between 3 and 129 students. The <br />average projection was low by 67 students. <br />The membership increased in total by 338 students, which is the sum of +193 at <br />Elementary, +30 at Middle, and +115 at High. <br />N9 <br />