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Section II <br /> A Student Growth Rate <br /> 1. Responsible Entity for Suggesting Change—The updating of this section will be <br /> conducted by the Planning Directors, School Representatives, Technical Advisory <br /> Committee (SAPFOTAC) each year and referred to the BOCC for annual report <br /> certification. <br /> Projections will be distributed to SAPFO partners for review and comments to the BOCC W <br /> prior to certification. <br /> 2. Definition —The annual percentage growth rate calculated from the projections resulting <br /> from the average of the five models represented by 10 year numerical membership <br /> projections by school level for each school district. This does not represent the year-by- <br /> year growth rate that may be positive or negative but rather the average of the annual <br /> growth rates over ten(10)years. <br /> 3. Standard for: Standard for: <br /> Chapel Hill Carrboro School District Orange County School District <br /> See Attachment II.D.2 See Attachment II.D.2 <br /> 4. Analysis of Existing Conditions Analysis of Existing Conditions <br /> The membership figures and percentage The membership figures and percentage <br /> growth on the attachments show growth on the attachments show continued <br /> continued growth at each school level growth at each school level within the <br /> within the system. system. <br /> Average Annual Growth Rate over ten years: Average Annual Growth Rate over ten years: <br /> Year Year <br /> Projection Projection <br /> Made: 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Made: 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 <br /> Elementary 1.79% 1.95% 2.03% 1.85% 1.5% Elementary 1.68% 1.6% 1.49% 1.84% 1.16% <br /> Middle 1.91% 2.41% 2.35% 2.58% 2.03% Middle 1.5% 1.18% 1.42% 1.78% 1.44% <br /> High 2.04% 1.950/o 2.04% 1 231% 2.21% High 1 1.21% 1 0.92% 1 0.98% 1 1.49% 1 1.0% <br /> 5. Recommendation Recommendation <br /> Use statistics as noted. Use statistics as noted <br /> 38 <br />