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Section II <br /> Chapel Hill Carrboro School District <br /> Elementary <br /> The previous year(2007)projection for November 2008 at this level was overestimated by 15 <br /> students. The actual growth was+129. Over the previous seven(7) years, this level has shown • <br /> varying increases in growth. From 2001 until 2003, growth steadily increased; however,in <br /> 2004, the increase suddenly fell to an increase of only 3 additional students. In years since 2004, <br /> student membership has increased by over 100 students per year. Projections done this year <br /> include the student membership from Morris Grove Elementary which opened in August 2008. <br /> The projections show the need for Elementary School#11 in 2010-11. A site has been identified <br /> for Elementary School#11 and efforts are underway to identify construction funding. <br /> In 2007, State Statutes were amended so that effective the 2009-2010 school year, children <br /> entering kindergarten must be five years old by August 31 st of the year starting school, versus <br /> the current statewide policy date of October 16th. For the 2009-2010 school year, this will result <br /> in a 45 week enrollment period as opposed to the typical 52 week birthday enrollment period, <br /> thereby creating a potential for a reduction in the number of children entering kindergarten in <br /> 2009. The 7 weeks lost in 2009-2010 will be picked up in 2010-2011,resulting in a 59 week <br /> enrollment period, and the children not entering kindergarten in 2009 due to the policy change <br /> will accordingly be added to the rolls in 2010. The enrollment period will return to 52 weeks in <br /> the years following, and the membership numbers should return to projected levels. <br /> Middle <br /> The previous year(2007)projection for November 2008 for this level was underestimated by 13 <br /> students. The actual membership increased by 75. Over the previous seven(7) years, growth <br /> decreased precipitously from 214 to 68 to 4, to—52 and then has seen modest increases of+12, <br /> +20,+30 and+75 since 2004. This school level shows a projected need for Middle School#5 in <br /> 2013-14,which is the same year projected in last year's projections. <br /> 30 <br />